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EARLYWeek 5 early projections · run Mon, Oct 5, 11:06 PM CT

Fantasy articles › Week 5

Week 5 PPR fantasy rankings: QB, RB, WR, TE and D/ST

AI-assisted. Written automatically from our model's own numbers with fixed templates; nothing is invented, and no language model adds facts. How this works.

PropSims ranks Josh Allen QB1 (21.9 median), Jahmyr Gibbs RB1 (21.4 median), Puka Nacua WR1 (19.2 median), Trey McBride TE1 (13.1 median) in full PPR for Week 5 of 2026. Every ranking below orders players by the median of 10,000 simulations of their game: half of the simulated games finish above it. The floor is the 10th percentile and the ceiling the 85th, so you can see who is safe and who is volatile.

Early edition: Week 5 model run exported Oct 5, 2026, 11:26 PM CT (10,000 simulations per game). Injury statuses from ESPN's public feed as of Oct 5, 2026, 11:06 PM CT. Statuses, roles and prices change during the week; the live pages update with every model refresh. Model opinion for entertainment and information, not betting advice. 21+. Projections change with injury news; lines and salaries move, so check before entering.

Week 5 PPR QB rankings

Top QBs: Josh Allen (21.9), Drake Maye (18.0), Lamar Jackson (17.9). Safest floor in the top 12: Josh Allen (12.2 at the 10th percentile). Biggest ceiling outside the top 12: C.J. Stroud (QB13, 24.9 at the 85th percentile).

#PlayerMatchupMedianMeanFloor (p10)Ceiling (p85)Call
1Josh Allen BUFat LAR21.922.912.232.2Start
2Drake Maye NEvs LV18.019.09.427.5Start
3Lamar Jackson BALat ATL17.919.010.027.2Start (Q)
4Dak Prescott DALvs TB17.718.99.027.8Start
5Jared Goff DETat ARI17.518.99.027.7Start
6Tyler Shough NOvs MIN17.118.39.326.2Start
7Jacoby Brissett ARIvs DET16.918.28.626.8Start
8Trevor Lawrence JACvs PHI16.918.09.026.0Start
9Joe Burrow CINat MIA16.918.08.626.3Start
10Brock Purdy SFat SEA16.917.99.125.9Start
11Bo Nix DENat LAC16.717.78.625.9Start
12Matthew Stafford LARvs BUF16.517.87.926.5Start
13C.J. Stroud HOUat TEN16.217.38.824.9Borderline
14Jalen Hurts PHIat JAC16.217.19.124.3Borderline
15Deshaun Watson CLEat NYJ16.117.29.124.5Borderline
16Jordan Love GBvs CHI15.216.38.423.7Borderline
17Justin Herbert LACvs DEN15.116.17.923.3Sit
18Malik Willis MIAvs CIN14.515.77.123.2Sit
19Aaron Rodgers PITvs IND14.315.66.523.7Sit
20Daniel Jones INDat PIT13.815.16.323.4Sit
21Geno Smith NYJvs CLE13.814.96.822.5Sit
22Sam Darnold SEAvs SF13.715.16.123.2Sit
23Kyler Murray MINat NO13.514.85.822.9Sit
24Tyson Bagent CHIat GB12.413.95.621.8Sit
25Athan Kaliakmanis WASvs NYG12.413.75.221.5Sit
26Jalon Daniels TBat DAL12.413.65.021.4Sit
27Kirk Cousins LVat NE12.313.65.321.5Sit
28Michael Penix Jr. ATLvs BAL11.512.95.020.2Sit
29Cam Ward TENvs HOU11.412.45.318.8Sit
30Jameis Winston NYGat WAS10.912.24.319.4Sit

Full PPR. Call: Start = top 12, Borderline = QB13–QB16, Sit = below. (Q) = listed questionable; the projection assumes he plays unless noted.

Week 5 PPR RB rankings

Top RBs: Jahmyr Gibbs (21.4), Bijan Robinson (21.4), Jaylen Warren (17.9). Safest floor in the top 24: Bijan Robinson (11.0 at the 10th percentile). Biggest ceiling outside the top 24: Jacory Croskey-Merritt (RB27, 18.4 at the 85th percentile).

#PlayerMatchupMedianMeanFloor (p10)Ceiling (p85)Call
1Jahmyr Gibbs DETat ARI21.423.59.935.5Start
2Bijan Robinson ATLvs BAL21.423.211.034.1Start
3Jaylen Warren PITvs IND17.919.78.529.8Start
4Kyren Williams LARvs BUF17.319.47.630.4Start
5Christian McCaffrey SFat SEA17.118.77.628.6Start
6Aaron Jones MINat NO17.018.77.628.7Start
7Javonte Williams DALvs TB16.018.16.628.6Start
8Derrick Henry BALat ATL15.817.67.327.1Start
9Jonathan Taylor INDat PIT15.617.07.226.0Start
10Ashton Jeanty LVat NE15.517.06.626.4Start
11Chase Brown CINat MIA14.816.46.425.4Start
12James Cook BUFat LAR14.516.16.725.0Start
13Emanuel Wilson SEAvs SF13.215.35.024.8Start
14Braelon Allen NYJvs CLE12.714.35.222.8Start
15Bhayshul Tuten JACvs PHI12.413.95.122.1Start
16D'Andre Swift CHIat GB12.013.74.722.0Start
17Cam Skattebo NYGat WAS11.512.94.420.9Start
18Rhamondre Stevenson NEvs LV10.812.13.919.5Start
19Saquon Barkley PHIat JAC10.712.04.618.8Start (Q)
20Quinshon Judkins CLEat NYJ10.511.93.819.5Start
21Bucky Irving TBat DAL10.412.03.819.6Start
22RJ Harvey DENat LAC10.211.43.818.1Start
23Jeremiyah Love ARIvs DET9.711.23.618.4Start (Q)
24David Montgomery HOUat TEN9.611.33.318.8Start
25Tony Pollard TENvs HOU9.410.93.817.6Borderline
26Omarion Hampton LACvs DEN9.310.83.417.8Borderline
27Jacory Croskey-Merritt WASvs NYG9.110.62.518.4Borderline
28Alvin Kamara NOvs MIN9.110.53.217.3Borderline
29J.K. Dobbins DENat LAC9.010.73.417.8Borderline
30Kyle Monangai CHIat GB9.010.63.118.0Borderline (Q)
31Ollie Gordon II MIAvs CIN8.810.13.316.7Borderline
32TreVeyon Henderson NEvs LV8.49.92.916.7Borderline
33MarShawn Lloyd GBvs CHI7.99.41.716.5Sit
34Woody Marks HOUat TEN6.88.41.215.2Sit
35George Holani SEAvs SF5.06.60.712.2Sit
36Tyler Allgeier ARIvs DET4.96.20.811.4Sit
37Keaton Mitchell LACvs DEN4.75.71.010.1Sit
38Austin Ekeler WASvs NYG4.56.10.911.1Sit
39Kaleb Johnson GBvs CHI4.45.80.910.8Sit
40Chris Rodriguez Jr. JACvs PHI4.06.00.511.5Sit

Full PPR. Call: Start = top 24, Borderline = RB25–RB32, Sit = below. (Q) = listed questionable; the projection assumes he plays unless noted.

Week 5 PPR WR rankings

Top WRs: Puka Nacua (19.2), CeeDee Lamb (19.1), Jaxon Smith-Njigba (17.9). Safest floor in the top 24: Puka Nacua (8.2 at the 10th percentile). Biggest ceiling outside the top 24: Jameson Williams (WR25, 19.8 at the 85th percentile).

#PlayerMatchupMedianMeanFloor (p10)Ceiling (p85)Call
1Puka Nacua LARvs BUF19.221.48.233.4Start
2CeeDee Lamb DALvs TB19.121.57.834.0Start
3Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEAvs SF17.920.27.132.0Start
4Zay Flowers BALat ATL17.419.86.831.7Start
5Nico Collins HOUat TEN16.718.96.630.2Start
6Amon-Ra St. Brown DETat ARI16.518.56.429.5Start
7Ja'Marr Chase CINat MIA14.516.35.426.0Start (Q)
8Chris Olave NOvs MIN14.416.25.426.0Start
9Michael Wilson ARIvs DET14.416.25.526.1Start
10Garrett Wilson NYJvs CLE14.115.76.024.4Start
11Davante Adams LARvs BUF13.615.94.226.5Start
12Jaylen Waddle DENat LAC12.914.94.524.4Start
13Tee Higgins CINat MIA12.914.74.324.2Start (Q)
14Christian Watson GBvs CHI12.414.34.024.0Start
15George Pickens DALvs TB12.213.94.023.2Start
16DK Metcalf PITvs IND11.713.53.922.5Start
17Drake London ATLvs BAL11.513.53.622.7Start
18Jordan Addison MINat NO11.012.63.321.1Start
19Parker Washington JACvs PHI10.712.63.221.4Start
20Malik Nabers NYGat WAS10.512.43.321.0Start
21Josh Downs INDat PIT10.311.93.319.8Start
22Dontayvion Wicks PHIat JAC10.211.83.219.8Start
23Matthew Golden GBvs CHI10.211.83.219.8Start
24Mike Evans SFat SEA10.111.73.119.6Start
25Jameson Williams DETat ARI9.911.62.719.8Borderline
26Jakobi Meyers JACvs PHI9.911.53.019.3Borderline
27Carnell Tate TENvs HOU9.911.43.518.7Borderline
28Romeo Doubs NEvs LV9.811.62.719.8Borderline
29Denzel Boston CLEat NYJ9.311.12.019.8Borderline
30Tre Harris LACvs DEN9.310.82.718.3Borderline
31Khalil Shakir BUFat LAR9.310.82.718.5Borderline
32Deebo Samuel Sr. SFat SEA8.910.32.717.4Borderline
33Malik Washington MIAvs CIN8.610.02.617.1Borderline
34Tre Tucker LVat NE8.39.82.316.8Borderline
35Makai Lemon PHIat JAC8.29.13.514.2Borderline
36Ladd McConkey LACvs DEN8.19.42.116.1Borderline (Q)
37Courtland Sutton DENat LAC8.09.51.816.5Sit
38Quentin Johnston LACvs DEN8.09.41.916.3Sit
39Wan'Dale Robinson TENvs HOU7.99.32.116.1Sit
40Mack Hollins NEvs LV7.89.31.816.2Sit (Q)
41DJ Moore BUFat LAR7.69.21.516.5Sit (Q)
42KC Concepcion CLEat NYJ7.58.92.015.3Sit
43Luther Burden III CHIat GB7.49.01.716.0Sit
44Stefon Diggs WASvs NYG7.39.11.716.1Sit
45Rome Odunze CHIat GB7.38.91.516.0Sit
46Devaughn Vele NOvs MIN7.28.52.514.1Sit
47Isaiah Williams NYJvs CLE7.28.22.513.6Sit
48Keon Coleman BUFat LAR7.08.32.414.0Sit

Full PPR. Call: Start = top 24, Borderline = WR25–WR36, Sit = below. (Q) = listed questionable; the projection assumes he plays unless noted.

Week 5 PPR TE rankings

Top TEs: Trey McBride (13.1), Brock Bowers (11.7), Tyler Warren (11.6). Safest floor in the top 12: Trey McBride (4.9 at the 10th percentile). Biggest ceiling outside the top 12: Mark Andrews (TE13, 16.3 at the 85th percentile).

#PlayerMatchupMedianMeanFloor (p10)Ceiling (p85)Call
1Trey McBride ARIvs DET13.114.84.923.9Start
2Brock Bowers LVat NE11.713.34.022.0Start
3Tyler Warren INDat PIT11.613.04.320.8Start
4George Kittle SFat SEA11.213.03.721.7Start
5T.J. Hockenson MINat NO11.212.93.921.3Start
6Tucker Kraft GBvs CHI10.812.33.520.4Start
7Sam LaPorta DETat ARI9.110.92.519.0Start
8Dalton Schultz HOUat TEN8.810.32.617.5Start
9Dalton Kincaid BUFat LAR8.710.62.118.6Start
10Hunter Henry NEvs LV8.710.32.318.0Start
11Brenton Strange JACvs PHI8.19.71.917.1Start
12Oronde Gadsden II LACvs DEN8.19.71.916.9Start
13Mark Andrews BALat ATL8.09.52.416.3Borderline
14Michael Mayer LVat NE7.48.71.915.0Borderline
15Kenyon Sadiq NYJvs CLE7.18.51.814.8Borderline
16Juwan Johnson NOvs MIN7.08.61.615.3Borderline
17AJ Barner SEAvs SF7.08.61.515.4Sit
18Pat Freiermuth PITvs IND6.68.21.514.8Sit
19Harold Fannin Jr. CLEat NYJ6.68.01.614.2Sit
20Jake Ferguson DALvs TB6.58.01.314.5Sit
21Colston Loveland CHIat GB6.37.91.314.3Sit
22Zach Ertz PHIat JAC6.07.31.412.9Sit
23Tyler Higbee LARvs BUF5.57.11.113.1Sit
24Isaiah Likely NYGat WAS5.36.81.212.5Sit

Full PPR. Call: Start = top 12, Borderline = TE13–TE16, Sit = below. (Q) = listed questionable; the projection assumes he plays unless noted.

Week 5 D/ST rankings

Defense/special teams scoring is the same in most leagues (points allowed tiers, sacks, turnovers, touchdowns). Our model publishes a D/ST mean only, no range, so this list is ordered by the mean. Top three: Denver Broncos (8.5), Jacksonville Jaguars (6.9), New England Patriots (6.9).

#TeamMatchupMean
1Denver Broncosat LAC8.5
2Jacksonville Jaguarsvs PHI6.9
3New England Patriotsvs LV6.9
4Houston Texansat TEN6.7
5Cleveland Brownsat NYJ6.7
6Minnesota Vikingsat NO6.5
7Pittsburgh Steelersvs IND6.5
8Cincinnati Bengalsat MIA6.4
9New Orleans Saintsvs MIN6.4
10Washington Commandersvs NYG6.1
11Dallas Cowboysvs TB5.9
12New York Jetsvs CLE5.8
13Chicago Bearsat GB5.6
14Las Vegas Raidersat NE5.6
15Seattle Seahawksvs SF5.5
16Detroit Lionsat ARI5.4
17Indianapolis Coltsat PIT5.1
18Tennessee Titansvs HOU5.0
19Los Angeles Chargersvs DEN4.8
20Miami Dolphinsvs CIN4.7

D/ST: own-model mean (FanDuel/DraftKings D/ST scoring).

Kickers

We do not rank kickers: the model does not simulate field goals and extra points, and we only publish what the simulations produce. Every quarterback, running back, receiver and tight end above links to his player page with the full stat projection.

More: PPR rankings by position, the start/sit tool, DFS projections, every game page and the Thursday TB at DAL showdown optimizer.

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Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Methodology · Track record