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Should I start Stefon Diggs in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · WAS vs IND · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 9:30 AM ET ·
PropSims ranks Stefon Diggs WR21 in half-PPR for Week 4 (WAS vs IND): start in a 12-team league. Median 9.1 points, floor 3.0 (p10), ceiling 18.1 (p85), from 10,000 simulations of the game. PPR: WR22 (median 11.5). Standard: WR26 (median 6.4).
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | WR22 | Start | 11.5 | 4.2 | 21.6 |
| Half-PPR | WR21 | Start | 9.1 | 3.0 | 18.1 |
| Standard | WR26 | Borderline | 6.4 | 1.7 | 14.6 |
Game environment: WAS market-implied team total 21.0 vs 25.5 for IND (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (3 games): 24% target share, 0% carry share, 58% snap rate (nflverse).
Close calls: Stefon Diggs vs similar WRs
- Stefon Diggs or Kalif Raymond? Stefon Diggs outscores Kalif Raymond in 48% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Stefon Diggs or Mike Evans? Stefon Diggs outscores Mike Evans in 51% of simulated games (half-PPR).
Ranked nearby (WR, half-PPR): Tee Higgins (WR19), George Pickens (WR20), Jalen Coker (WR22), Denzel Boston (WR23).
Compare Stefon Diggs with anyone in the Start/Sit assistant →
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings