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Should I start Jaylen Waddle in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · DEN vs SF · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET ·
PropSims ranks Jaylen Waddle WR40 in half-PPR for Week 4 (DEN vs SF): sit in a 12-team league. Median 6.2 points, floor 1.7 (p10), ceiling 12.9 (p85), from 10,000 simulations of the game. PPR: WR40 (median 8.0). Standard: WR39 (median 4.5).
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | WR40 | Sit | 8.0 | 2.3 | 15.6 |
| Half-PPR | WR40 | Sit | 6.2 | 1.7 | 12.9 |
| Standard | WR39 | Sit | 4.5 | 1.0 | 10.3 |
Game environment: DEN market-implied team total 23.0 vs 25.5 for SF (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (3 games): 23% target share, 1% carry share, 70% snap rate (nflverse).
Ranked nearby (WR, half-PPR): Michael Wilson (WR38), Ladd McConkey (WR39), Rashod Bateman (WR41), Courtland Sutton (WR42).
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings