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Should I start David Montgomery in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · HOU vs DAL · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET ·
PropSims ranks David Montgomery RB30 in half-PPR for Week 4 (HOU vs DAL): a borderline start in a 12-team league. Median 6.7 points, floor 1.3 (p10), ceiling 15.7 (p85), from 10,000 simulations of the game. PPR: RB30 (median 7.4). Standard: RB29 (median 5.8).
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | RB30 | Borderline | 7.4 | 1.5 | 16.6 |
| Half-PPR | RB30 | Borderline | 6.7 | 1.3 | 15.7 |
| Standard | RB29 | Borderline | 5.8 | 0.9 | 14.8 |
Game environment: HOU market-implied team total 25.8 vs 22.8 for DAL (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (3 games): 7% target share, 49% carry share, 55% snap rate (nflverse).
Close calls: David Montgomery vs similar RBs
- David Montgomery or Cam Skattebo? David Montgomery outscores Cam Skattebo in 49% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- David Montgomery or Austin Ekeler? David Montgomery outscores Austin Ekeler in 49% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- David Montgomery or Saquon Barkley? David Montgomery outscores Saquon Barkley in 48% of simulated games (half-PPR).
Ranked nearby (RB, half-PPR): Austin Ekeler (RB28), Saquon Barkley (RB29), RJ Harvey (RB31), Jacory Croskey-Merritt (RB32).
Compare David Montgomery with anyone in the Start/Sit assistant →
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings