PropPlayers › WR › CHI
Should I start Luther Burden III in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · CHI vs NYJ · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET ·
PropSims ranks Luther Burden III WR29 in half-PPR for Week 4 (CHI vs NYJ): a borderline start in a 12-team league. Median 7.6 points, floor 2.1 (p10), ceiling 15.6 (p85), from 10,000 simulations of the game. PPR: WR29 (median 9.7). Standard: WR29 (median 5.5).
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | WR29 | Borderline | 9.7 | 2.9 | 18.5 |
| Half-PPR | WR29 | Borderline | 7.6 | 2.1 | 15.6 |
| Standard | WR29 | Borderline | 5.5 | 1.2 | 12.9 |
Game environment: CHI market-implied team total 23.2 vs 19.8 for NYJ (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (3 games): 25% target share, 2% carry share, 64% snap rate (nflverse).
Ranked nearby (WR, half-PPR): Parker Washington (WR27), Emeka Egbuka (WR28), Deebo Samuel Sr. (WR30), Matthew Golden (WR31).
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings