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Should I start Javonte Williams in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · DAL vs HOU · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET ·
PropSims ranks Javonte Williams RB14 in half-PPR for Week 4 (DAL vs HOU): start in a 12-team league. Median 11.4 points, floor 4.5 (p10), ceiling 20.9 (p85), from 10,000 simulations of the game. PPR: RB15 (median 12.8). Standard: RB14 (median 9.9).
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | RB15 | Start | 12.8 | 5.3 | 22.8 |
| Half-PPR | RB14 | Start | 11.4 | 4.5 | 20.9 |
| Standard | RB14 | Start | 9.9 | 3.5 | 19.3 |
Game environment: DAL market-implied team total 22.8 vs 25.8 for HOU (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (3 games): 12% target share, 62% carry share, 76% snap rate (nflverse).
Close calls: Javonte Williams vs similar RBs
- Javonte Williams or Ashton Jeanty? Javonte Williams outscores Ashton Jeanty in 45% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Javonte Williams or Chuba Hubbard? Javonte Williams outscores Chuba Hubbard in 48% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Javonte Williams or Chase Brown? Javonte Williams outscores Chase Brown in 49% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Javonte Williams or Bucky Irving? Javonte Williams outscores Bucky Irving in 50% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Javonte Williams or D'Andre Swift? Javonte Williams outscores D'Andre Swift in 52% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Javonte Williams or Jeremiyah Love? Javonte Williams outscores Jeremiyah Love in 53% of simulated games (half-PPR).
Ranked nearby (RB, half-PPR): Chuba Hubbard (RB12), Chase Brown (RB13), Bucky Irving (RB15), D'Andre Swift (RB16).
Compare Javonte Williams with anyone in the Start/Sit assistant →
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings