PropPlayers › RB › NYJ
Should I start Braelon Allen in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · NYJ vs CHI · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET ·
PropSims ranks Braelon Allen RB20 in half-PPR for Week 4 (NYJ vs CHI): start in a 12-team league. Median 8.1 points, floor 1.9 (p10), ceiling 16.8 (p85), from 10,000 simulations of the game. PPR: RB20 (median 8.7). Standard: RB20 (median 7.6).
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | RB20 | Start | 8.7 | 2.2 | 17.7 |
| Half-PPR | RB20 | Start | 8.1 | 1.9 | 16.8 |
| Standard | RB20 | Start | 7.6 | 1.6 | 16.0 |
Game environment: NYJ market-implied team total 19.8 vs 23.2 for CHI (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (3 games): 5% target share, 22% carry share, 41% snap rate (nflverse).
Close calls: Braelon Allen vs similar RBs
- Braelon Allen or Jeremiyah Love? Braelon Allen outscores Jeremiyah Love in 40% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Braelon Allen or Alvin Kamara? Braelon Allen outscores Alvin Kamara in 43% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Braelon Allen or Quinshon Judkins? Braelon Allen outscores Quinshon Judkins in 46% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Braelon Allen or Emanuel Wilson? Braelon Allen outscores Emanuel Wilson in 51% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Braelon Allen or Bhayshul Tuten? Braelon Allen outscores Bhayshul Tuten in 49% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Braelon Allen or Rhamondre Stevenson? Braelon Allen outscores Rhamondre Stevenson in 51% of simulated games (half-PPR).
Ranked nearby (RB, half-PPR): Alvin Kamara (RB18), Quinshon Judkins (RB19), Emanuel Wilson (RB21), Bhayshul Tuten (RB22).
Compare Braelon Allen with anyone in the Start/Sit assistant →
Get PropSims free
The beta is free, no card required. Weekly projections, start/sit, DFS value and a public, pre-kickoff props log.
Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings