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Should I start Woody Marks in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · HOU vs DAL · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET ·
PropSims ranks Woody Marks RB40 in half-PPR for Week 4 (HOU vs DAL): sit in a 12-team league. Median 4.9 points, floor 0.6 (p10), ceiling 13.2 (p85), from 10,000 simulations of the game. PPR: RB39 (median 5.7). Standard: RB39 (median 4.2).
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | RB39 | Sit | 5.7 | 0.7 | 14.0 |
| Half-PPR | RB40 | Sit | 4.9 | 0.6 | 13.2 |
| Standard | RB39 | Sit | 4.2 | 0.3 | 12.3 |
Game environment: HOU market-implied team total 25.8 vs 22.8 for DAL (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (3 games): 6% target share, 32% carry share, 45% snap rate (nflverse).
Ranked nearby (RB, half-PPR): Tony Pollard (RB38), Blake Corum (RB39), Isaiah Davis (RB41), Bam Knight (RB42).
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings