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Should I start Tony Pollard in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · TEN vs BAL · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET ·
PropSims ranks Tony Pollard RB38 in half-PPR for Week 4 (TEN vs BAL): sit in a 12-team league. Median 5.3 points, floor 1.5 (p10), ceiling 12.0 (p85), from 10,000 simulations of the game. PPR: RB38 (median 6.2). Standard: RB38 (median 4.5).
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | RB38 | Sit | 6.2 | 1.7 | 12.9 |
| Half-PPR | RB38 | Sit | 5.3 | 1.5 | 12.0 |
| Standard | RB38 | Sit | 4.5 | 1.2 | 11.0 |
Game environment: TEN market-implied team total 15.5 vs 27.0 for BAL (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (3 games): 8% target share, 60% carry share, 53% snap rate (nflverse).
Ranked nearby (RB, half-PPR): MarShawn Lloyd (RB36), Tyler Allgeier (RB37), Blake Corum (RB39), Woody Marks (RB40).
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings