Game recaps: projections vs results, props graded
After each game, our pre-kickoff projections against the final box score, and every prop forecast we logged before kickoff, graded with losses included.
By PropSims model, explained · AI-assisted, generated from our model's numbers
- Arizona Cardinals 24, New York Giants 36: our projections vs the box scoreArizona Cardinals at New York Giants, Week 4 2026: final 24-36. 8 of 13 players inside our 10-90 range; official props record 5-5.Updated Oct 4, 2026, 4:03 PM CT
- Dallas Cowboys 34, Houston Texans 30: our projections vs the box scoreDallas Cowboys at Houston Texans, Week 4 2026: final 34-30. 10 of 14 players inside our 10-90 range; official props record 4-3.Updated Oct 4, 2026, 4:03 PM CT
- Green Bay Packers 17, Tampa Bay Buccaneers 14: our projections vs the box scoreGreen Bay Packers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Week 4 2026: final 17-14. 11 of 11 players inside our 10-90 range; official props record 7-7.Updated Oct 4, 2026, 4:12 PM CT
- Jacksonville Jaguars 22, Cincinnati Bengals 17: our projections vs the box scoreJacksonville Jaguars at Cincinnati Bengals, Week 4 2026: final 22-17. 10 of 14 players inside our 10-90 range; official props record 5-1.Updated Oct 4, 2026, 4:12 PM CT
- Los Angeles Rams 24, Philadelphia Eagles 20: our projections vs the box scoreLos Angeles Rams at Philadelphia Eagles, Week 4 2026: final 24-20. 9 of 12 players inside our 10-90 range; official props record 3-4.Updated Oct 4, 2026, 4:12 PM CT
- New England Patriots 29, Buffalo Bills 26: our projections vs the box scoreNew England Patriots at Buffalo Bills, Week 4 2026: final 29-26. 9 of 13 players inside our 10-90 range; official props record 6-3.Updated Oct 4, 2026, 4:12 PM CT
- New York Jets 12, Chicago Bears 23: our projections vs the box scoreNew York Jets at Chicago Bears, Week 4 2026: final 12-23. 8 of 12 players inside our 10-90 range; official props record 7-6.Updated Oct 4, 2026, 4:12 PM CT
- Tennessee Titans 18, Baltimore Ravens 24: our projections vs the box scoreTennessee Titans at Baltimore Ravens, Week 4 2026: final 18-24. 8 of 9 players inside our 10-90 range; official props record 6-6.Updated Oct 4, 2026, 4:12 PM CT
- Indianapolis Colts 30, Washington Commanders 13: our projections vs the box scoreIndianapolis Colts at Washington Commanders, Week 4 2026: final 30-13. 8 of 12 players inside our 10-90 range; official props record 8-4.Updated Oct 4, 2026, 4:03 PM CT