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Should I start Malik Willis in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · MIA vs MIN · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 4:05 PM ET ·
PropSims ranks Malik Willis QB24 in half-PPR for Week 4 (MIA vs MIN): sit in a 12-team league. Median 14.0 points, floor 7.2 (p10), ceiling 21.9 (p85), from 10,000 simulations of the game. PPR: QB24 (median 14.0). Standard: QB24 (median 14.0).
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | QB24 | Sit | 14.0 | 7.2 | 21.9 |
| Half-PPR | QB24 | Sit | 14.0 | 7.2 | 21.9 |
| Standard | QB24 | Sit | 14.0 | 7.2 | 21.9 |
Game environment: MIA market-implied team total 14.2 vs 24.2 for MIN (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (3 games): 0% target share, 23% carry share, 100% snap rate (nflverse).
Ranked nearby (QB, half-PPR): Daniel Jones (QB22), Jordan Love (QB23), Geno Smith (QB25), Michael Penix Jr. (QB26).
Compare Malik Willis with anyone in the Start/Sit assistant →
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings