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Should I start Dalton Schultz in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · HOU vs DAL · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET ·
PropSims ranks Dalton Schultz TE14 in half-PPR for Week 4 (HOU vs DAL): a borderline start in a 12-team league. Median 5.4 points, floor 1.4 (p10), ceiling 12.1 (p85), from 10,000 simulations of the game. PPR: TE13 (median 7.4). Standard: TE16 (median 3.4).
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | TE13 | Borderline | 7.4 | 1.9 | 15.1 |
| Half-PPR | TE14 | Borderline | 5.4 | 1.4 | 12.1 |
| Standard | TE16 | Borderline | 3.4 | 0.7 | 9.1 |
Game environment: HOU market-implied team total 25.8 vs 22.8 for DAL (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (3 games): 21% target share, 0% carry share, 63% snap rate (nflverse).
Close calls: Dalton Schultz vs similar TEs
- Dalton Schultz or Harold Fannin Jr.? Dalton Schultz outscores Harold Fannin Jr. in 47% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Dalton Schultz or T.J. Hockenson? Dalton Schultz outscores T.J. Hockenson in 47% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Dalton Schultz or Hunter Henry? Dalton Schultz outscores Hunter Henry in 49% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Dalton Schultz or Cade Otton? Dalton Schultz outscores Cade Otton in 51% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Dalton Schultz or Kenyon Sadiq? Dalton Schultz outscores Kenyon Sadiq in 51% of simulated games (half-PPR).
Ranked nearby (TE, half-PPR): T.J. Hockenson (TE12), Hunter Henry (TE13), Cade Otton (TE15), Kenyon Sadiq (TE16).
Compare Dalton Schultz with anyone in the Start/Sit assistant →
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings