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EARLYWeek 5 early projections · run Mon, Oct 5, 11:06 PM CT

Week 5 games › BAL at ATL

Baltimore Ravens at Atlanta Falcons: Week 5 projections and props

Kickoff Sun, Oct 11, 8:20 PM ET ·

Our model projects Lamar Jackson (BAL vs ATL) for a median 230 passing yards (10th-90th percentile 138-335) and 28 rushing yards (10th-90th percentile 7-55) in Week 5. Our model projects Bijan Robinson (ATL vs BAL) for a median 89 rushing yards (10th-90th percentile 53-160) and 28 receiving yards (10th-90th percentile 2-75) in Week 5.

Baltimore Ravens

RankPlayerOppPPR medianFloor p10Ceiling p85Half-PPR medianStd medianKey stats (median)
QB3Lamar JacksonQATL17.910.027.217.917.9230 passing yards, 28 rushing yards
WR4Zay FlowersATL17.46.831.714.411.387 receiving yards, 6 receptions
RB8Derrick HenryATL15.87.327.115.014.286 rushing yards, 6 receiving yards
TE13Mark AndrewsATL8.02.416.35.93.729 receiving yards, 4 receptions
WR61Rashod BatemanATL4.80.011.43.82.719 receiving yards, 2 receptions
TE35Matthew Hibner (limited)ATL3.00.05.52.31.6
RB56Justice HillATL2.00.06.11.51.0
WR92Devontez Walker (limited)ATL1.60.05.51.10.6
WR97Elijah Sarratt (limited)ATL1.50.04.61.00.5
TE79Durham SmytheQ (limited)ATL0.00.01.10.00.0
QB34Tyler Huntley (backup)ATL0.00.00.00.00.0

Atlanta Falcons

RankPlayerOppPPR medianFloor p10Ceiling p85Half-PPR medianStd medianKey stats (median)
RB2Bijan RobinsonBAL21.411.034.119.617.789 rushing yards, 28 receiving yards
WR17Drake LondonBAL11.53.622.79.37.057 receiving yards, 4 receptions
QB28Michael Penix Jr.BAL11.55.020.211.511.5201 passing yards, 1 rushing yards
TE29Kyle PittsBAL4.40.011.13.22.017 receiving yards, 2 receptions
RB42Brian RobinsonBAL3.90.79.93.63.425 rushing yards, 0 receiving yards
WR83Jahan DotsonBAL2.40.06.51.81.1
WR103Olamide Zaccheaus (limited)BAL1.20.03.40.70.2
TE51Austin Hooper (limited)BAL0.00.04.20.00.0
TE75Charlie Woerner (limited)BAL0.00.01.30.00.0
WR118Zachariah Branch (limited)BAL0.00.02.40.00.0

Both teams come from the same 10,000 simulations of this game, so player outcomes are correlated the way the game script makes them. Click a player for stat projections and prop lines.

Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. All Week 5 games · Rankings · Props board