Week 5 games › BAL at ATL
Baltimore Ravens at Atlanta Falcons: Week 5 projections and props
Kickoff Sun, Oct 11, 8:20 PM ET ·
Our model projects Lamar Jackson (BAL vs ATL) for a median 230 passing yards (10th-90th percentile 138-335) and 28 rushing yards (10th-90th percentile 7-55) in Week 5. Our model projects Bijan Robinson (ATL vs BAL) for a median 89 rushing yards (10th-90th percentile 53-160) and 28 receiving yards (10th-90th percentile 2-75) in Week 5.
Baltimore Ravens
| Rank | Player | Opp | PPR median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 | Half-PPR median | Std median | Key stats (median) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB3 | Lamar JacksonQ | ATL | 17.9 | 10.0 | 27.2 | 17.9 | 17.9 | 230 passing yards, 28 rushing yards |
| WR4 | Zay Flowers | ATL | 17.4 | 6.8 | 31.7 | 14.4 | 11.3 | 87 receiving yards, 6 receptions |
| RB8 | Derrick Henry | ATL | 15.8 | 7.3 | 27.1 | 15.0 | 14.2 | 86 rushing yards, 6 receiving yards |
| TE13 | Mark Andrews | ATL | 8.0 | 2.4 | 16.3 | 5.9 | 3.7 | 29 receiving yards, 4 receptions |
| WR61 | Rashod Bateman | ATL | 4.8 | 0.0 | 11.4 | 3.8 | 2.7 | 19 receiving yards, 2 receptions |
| TE35 | Matthew Hibner (limited) | ATL | 3.0 | 0.0 | 5.5 | 2.3 | 1.6 | |
| RB56 | Justice Hill | ATL | 2.0 | 0.0 | 6.1 | 1.5 | 1.0 | |
| WR92 | Devontez Walker (limited) | ATL | 1.6 | 0.0 | 5.5 | 1.1 | 0.6 | |
| WR97 | Elijah Sarratt (limited) | ATL | 1.5 | 0.0 | 4.6 | 1.0 | 0.5 | |
| TE79 | Durham SmytheQ (limited) | ATL | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| QB34 | Tyler Huntley (backup) | ATL | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Atlanta Falcons
| Rank | Player | Opp | PPR median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 | Half-PPR median | Std median | Key stats (median) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB2 | Bijan Robinson | BAL | 21.4 | 11.0 | 34.1 | 19.6 | 17.7 | 89 rushing yards, 28 receiving yards |
| WR17 | Drake London | BAL | 11.5 | 3.6 | 22.7 | 9.3 | 7.0 | 57 receiving yards, 4 receptions |
| QB28 | Michael Penix Jr. | BAL | 11.5 | 5.0 | 20.2 | 11.5 | 11.5 | 201 passing yards, 1 rushing yards |
| TE29 | Kyle Pitts | BAL | 4.4 | 0.0 | 11.1 | 3.2 | 2.0 | 17 receiving yards, 2 receptions |
| RB42 | Brian Robinson | BAL | 3.9 | 0.7 | 9.9 | 3.6 | 3.4 | 25 rushing yards, 0 receiving yards |
| WR83 | Jahan Dotson | BAL | 2.4 | 0.0 | 6.5 | 1.8 | 1.1 | |
| WR103 | Olamide Zaccheaus (limited) | BAL | 1.2 | 0.0 | 3.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 | |
| TE51 | Austin Hooper (limited) | BAL | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| TE75 | Charlie Woerner (limited) | BAL | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| WR118 | Zachariah Branch (limited) | BAL | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Both teams come from the same 10,000 simulations of this game, so player outcomes are correlated the way the game script makes them. Click a player for stat projections and prop lines.
Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. All Week 5 games · Rankings · Props board