PropPlayers › RB › Minnesota Vikings
Aaron Jones Week 5 PPR projection, props and start/sit
EARLYEarly Week 5 projections · run Mon, Oct 5, 11:06 PM CT · last updated Mon, Oct 5, 11:26 PM CT
Week 5, 2026 · MIN vs NO · game projections · kickoff Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET ·
Our model projects Aaron Jones (MIN vs NO) for a median 72 rushing yards (10th-90th percentile 37-138) and 15 receiving yards (10th-90th percentile 0-47) in Week 5.
PropSims ranks Aaron Jones RB6 in PPR for Week 5 (MIN vs NO): start in a 12-team league. Median 17.0 points, floor 7.6 (p10), ceiling 28.7 (p85), from 10,000 simulations of the game. Half-PPR: RB5 (median 15.5). Standard: RB6 (median 14.0).
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | RB6 | Start | 17.0 | 7.6 | 28.7 |
| Half-PPR | RB5 | Start | 15.5 | 6.7 | 27.0 |
| Standard | RB6 | Start | 14.0 | 5.6 | 25.5 |
Aaron Jones stat projections, Week 5
| Stat | Median | Mean | 10th pct | 90th pct |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing yards | 72 | 80.7 | 37 | 138 |
| Rush attempts | 19 | 19.8 | 12 | 28 |
| Receptions | 2 | 2.8 | 1 | 5 |
| Receiving yards | 15 | 20.5 | 0 | 47 |
| Rushing + receiving yards | 94 | 101.3 | 50 | 164 |
| Anytime TD | 100% |
Anytime TD shows the share of simulations in which he scores.
Start/sit matchups: Aaron Jones vs similar RBs (PPR)
- Aaron Jones or Christian McCaffrey? Aaron Jones outscores Christian McCaffrey in 49% of simulated games (PPR).
- Aaron Jones or Derrick Henry? Aaron Jones outscores Derrick Henry in 53% of simulated games (PPR).
- Aaron Jones or Javonte Williams? Aaron Jones outscores Javonte Williams in 53% of simulated games (PPR).
- Aaron Jones or Jahmyr Gibbs? Aaron Jones outscores Jahmyr Gibbs in 38% of simulated games (PPR).
- Aaron Jones or Jaylen Warren? Aaron Jones outscores Jaylen Warren in 47% of simulated games (PPR).
- Aaron Jones or Kyren Williams? Aaron Jones outscores Kyren Williams in 49% of simulated games (PPR).
Ranked nearby (RB, PPR): Kyren Williams (RB4), Christian McCaffrey (RB5), Javonte Williams (RB7), Derrick Henry (RB8).
Aaron Jones game log, 2026
| Week | Opp | PPR pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Rec | Targets | Rec yds | TDs | Our median |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | MIA | 16.8 | 94 | 4 | 8 | 34 | 0 | — | |
| 3 | TB | 14.2 | 58 | 5 | 6 | 34 | 0 | — | |
| 2 | CHI | 10.5 | 105 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | ||
| 1 | GB | 10.0 | 40 | 0 | 1 | 1 | — |
Box scores: nflverse (CC-BY 4.0), full PPR. "Our median" is the PPR median we published before that game (shown from Week 4 on, when we started keeping it).
Get PropSims free
The beta is free, no card required. Weekly projections, start/sit, DFS value and a public, pre-kickoff props log.
Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 5 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · Week 5 RB rankings · Minnesota Vikings projections