PropPlayers › RB › LV
Should I start Ashton Jeanty in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · LV vs KC · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET ·
PropSims ranks Ashton Jeanty RB11 in half-PPR for Week 4 (LV vs KC): start in a 12-team league. Median 12.7 points, floor 4.8 (p10), ceiling 23.4 (p85), from 10,000 simulations of the game. PPR: RB11 (median 14.2). Standard: RB11 (median 11.3).
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | RB11 | Start | 14.2 | 5.7 | 25.1 |
| Half-PPR | RB11 | Start | 12.7 | 4.8 | 23.4 |
| Standard | RB11 | Start | 11.3 | 3.8 | 21.8 |
Game environment: LV market-implied team total 21.8 vs 26.2 for KC (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (3 games): 18% target share, 75% carry share, 80% snap rate (nflverse).
Close calls: Ashton Jeanty vs similar RBs
- Ashton Jeanty or Jonathan Taylor? Ashton Jeanty outscores Jonathan Taylor in 42% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Ashton Jeanty or Christian McCaffrey? Ashton Jeanty outscores Christian McCaffrey in 46% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Ashton Jeanty or Kyren Williams? Ashton Jeanty outscores Kyren Williams in 47% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Ashton Jeanty or Chuba Hubbard? Ashton Jeanty outscores Chuba Hubbard in 53% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Ashton Jeanty or Chase Brown? Ashton Jeanty outscores Chase Brown in 54% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Ashton Jeanty or Javonte Williams? Ashton Jeanty outscores Javonte Williams in 55% of simulated games (half-PPR).
Ranked nearby (RB, half-PPR): Christian McCaffrey (RB9), Kyren Williams (RB10), Chuba Hubbard (RB12), Chase Brown (RB13).
Compare Ashton Jeanty with anyone in the Start/Sit assistant →
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings