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Should I start DJ Moore in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · BUF vs NE · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET ·
PropSims ranks DJ Moore WR33 in half-PPR for Week 4 (BUF vs NE): a borderline start in a 12-team league. Median 7.1 points, floor 1.6 (p10), ceiling 15.8 (p85), from 10,000 simulations of the game. PPR: WR34 (median 8.8). Standard: WR31 (median 5.4).
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | WR34 | Borderline | 8.8 | 2.2 | 18.3 |
| Half-PPR | WR33 | Borderline | 7.1 | 1.6 | 15.8 |
| Standard | WR31 | Borderline | 5.4 | 0.9 | 13.4 |
Game environment: BUF market-implied team total 28.5 vs 21.5 for NE (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (3 games): 22% target share, 1% carry share, 57% snap rate (nflverse).
Close calls: DJ Moore vs similar WRs
- DJ Moore or DK Metcalf? DJ Moore outscores DK Metcalf in 50% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- DJ Moore or Mack Hollins? DJ Moore outscores Mack Hollins in 52% of simulated games (half-PPR).
Ranked nearby (WR, half-PPR): Matthew Golden (WR31), Darius Slayton (WR32), DK Metcalf (WR34), Mack Hollins (WR35).
Compare DJ Moore with anyone in the Start/Sit assistant →
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings