PropPlayers › RB › LAC
Should I start Keaton Mitchell in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · LAC vs SEA · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET ·
PropSims ranks Keaton Mitchell RB59 in half-PPR for Week 4 (LAC vs SEA): sit in a 12-team league. Median 2.7 points, floor 0.3 (p10), ceiling 7.3 (p85), from 10,000 simulations of the game. PPR: RB59 (median 3.2). Standard: RB55 (median 2.3).
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | RB59 | Sit | 3.2 | 0.4 | 7.9 |
| Half-PPR | RB59 | Sit | 2.7 | 0.3 | 7.3 |
| Standard | RB55 | Sit | 2.3 | 0.2 | 6.9 |
Game environment: LAC market-implied team total 17.8 vs 24.8 for SEA (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (3 games): 4% target share, 21% carry share, 31% snap rate (nflverse).
Ranked nearby (RB, half-PPR): Zavier Scott (RB57), Phil Mafah (RB58), Devin Singletary (RB60), Emmett Johnson (RB61).
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings