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Should I start Deebo Samuel Sr. in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · SF vs DEN · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET ·
PropSims ranks Deebo Samuel Sr. WR30 in half-PPR for Week 4 (SF vs DEN): a borderline start in a 12-team league. Median 7.5 points, floor 2.1 (p10), ceiling 16.3 (p85), from 10,000 simulations of the game. PPR: WR30 (median 9.6). Standard: WR32 (median 5.3).
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | WR30 | Borderline | 9.6 | 2.9 | 19.1 |
| Half-PPR | WR30 | Borderline | 7.5 | 2.1 | 16.3 |
| Standard | WR32 | Borderline | 5.3 | 1.2 | 13.5 |
Game environment: SF market-implied team total 25.5 vs 23.0 for DEN (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (3 games): 13% target share, 6% carry share, 59% snap rate (nflverse).
Ranked nearby (WR, half-PPR): Emeka Egbuka (WR28), Luther Burden III (WR29), Matthew Golden (WR31), Darius Slayton (WR32).
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings