PropPlayers › WR › SF
Should I start Mike Evans in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · SF vs DEN · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET ·
PropSims ranks Mike Evans WR24 in half-PPR for Week 4 (SF vs DEN): start in a 12-team league. Median 8.9 points, floor 3.0 (p10), ceiling 17.2 (p85), from 10,000 simulations of the game. PPR: WR23 (median 11.4). Standard: WR27 (median 6.3).
Q Injury status at export time.
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | WR23 | Start | 11.4 | 4.1 | 20.8 |
| Half-PPR | WR24 | Start | 8.9 | 3.0 | 17.2 |
| Standard | WR27 | Borderline | 6.3 | 1.8 | 13.9 |
Game environment: SF market-implied team total 25.5 vs 23.0 for DEN (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (3 games): 19% target share, 0% carry share, 54% snap rate (nflverse).
Close calls: Mike Evans vs similar WRs
- Mike Evans or Stefon Diggs? Mike Evans outscores Stefon Diggs in 49% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Mike Evans or Malik Nabers? Mike Evans outscores Malik Nabers in 51% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Mike Evans or Parker Washington? Mike Evans outscores Parker Washington in 51% of simulated games (half-PPR).
Ranked nearby (WR, half-PPR): Jalen Coker (WR22), Denzel Boston (WR23), Malik Nabers (WR25), Davante Adams (WR26).
Compare Mike Evans with anyone in the Start/Sit assistant →
Get PropSims free
The beta is free, no card required. Weekly projections, start/sit, DFS value and a public, pre-kickoff props log.
Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings