PropNFL news feed: what each change does to our model
When the injury feeds we track show a player ruled out, downgraded or cleared before his game, we re-run that game's 10,000 simulations and report the effect here: who absorbs the work, by how many points, and how prop fair prices move.
By PropSims model, explained · AI-assisted, written automatically from our model's numbers · RSS feed · Latest change
Sunday, October 4, 2026
- Colby Parkinson and 2 others out for LAR vs PHI: Davante Adams gains +1.0 points in our sims
Colby Parkinson (LAR) was downgraded to out. Our model moves Davante Adams from 12.0 to 13.0 half-PPR points.
- Behren Morton and Tanner Arkin out for NE vs BUF: no material change in our projections
Behren Morton (NE) is out. No teammate moves beyond simulation noise. Minor change: no separate page.
- Marlin Klein out for HOU vs DAL: no material change in our projections
Marlin Klein (HOU) was ruled out. No teammate moves beyond simulation noise. Minor change: no separate page.
- Devin Singletary and Thomas Fidone II out for NYG vs ARI: Cam Skattebo gains +1.1 points in our sims
Devin Singletary (NYG) is out. Our model moves Cam Skattebo from 10.7 to 11.8 half-PPR points.
- Skyler Bell out for BUF vs NE: no material change in our projections
Skyler Bell (BUF) was ruled out. No teammate moves beyond simulation noise. Minor change: no separate page.
- Carson Beck and Reggie Virgil out for ARI vs NYG: no material change in our projections
Carson Beck (ARI) is out. No teammate moves beyond simulation noise. Minor change: no separate page.
- Chris Moore and Joe Fagnano out for BAL vs TEN: our model moves Rashod Bateman to 7.1 points
Chris Moore (BAL) was downgraded to out. Our model moves Rashod Bateman from 6.6 to 7.1 half-PPR points.
- Emari Demercado and Camden Brown out for DAL vs HOU: Javonte Williams gains +0.9 points in our sims
Emari Demercado (DAL) was downgraded to out. Our model moves Javonte Williams from 12.8 to 13.7 half-PPR points.
- Cole Payton out for PHI vs LAR: no material change in our projections
Cole Payton (PHI) is out. No teammate moves beyond simulation noise. Minor change: no separate page.
- Michael Carter and Kylen Granson out for TEN vs BAL: Tony Pollard is the biggest winner (+1.2)
Michael Carter (TEN) was downgraded to out. Our model moves Tony Pollard from 8.7 to 9.9 half-PPR points.
- CJ Williams out for JAC vs CIN: no material change in our projections
CJ Williams (JAC) was ruled out. No teammate moves beyond simulation noise. Minor change: no separate page.
- Kenyon Sadiq active for NYJ vs CHI: no material change in our projections
Kenyon Sadiq (NYJ) had his questionable tag cleared. No teammate moves beyond simulation noise. Minor change: no separate page.
- Darius Slayton and 2 others out for IND vs WAS: our model moves Josh Downs to 11.1 points
Darius Slayton (IND) is out. Our model moves Josh Downs from 10.4 to 11.1 half-PPR points.
- Luke McCaffrey and Terry McLaurin out for WAS vs IND: Antonio Williams is the biggest winner (+0.7)
Luke McCaffrey (WAS) was ruled out. Our model moves Antonio Williams from 6.4 to 7.1 half-PPR points.
Statuses come from the ESPN and nflverse injury feeds our updater reads about every 7 minutes during game windows and about every 2 hours on other days. Changes in games that have already kicked off are not re-simulated. Model opinion, not advice. 21+.