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Should I start Garrett Wilson in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · NYJ vs CHI · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET ·
PropSims ranks Garrett Wilson WR5 in half-PPR for Week 4 (NYJ vs CHI): start in a 12-team league. Median 12.9 points, floor 5.7 (p10), ceiling 22.1 (p85), from 10,000 simulations of the game. PPR: WR5 (median 16.7). Standard: WR10 (median 8.9).
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | WR5 | Start | 16.7 | 7.9 | 27.5 |
| Half-PPR | WR5 | Start | 12.9 | 5.7 | 22.1 |
| Standard | WR10 | Start | 8.9 | 3.4 | 16.9 |
Game environment: NYJ market-implied team total 19.8 vs 23.2 for CHI (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (3 games): 29% target share, 0% carry share, 86% snap rate (nflverse).
Close calls: Garrett Wilson vs similar WRs
- Garrett Wilson or Chris Olave? Garrett Wilson outscores Chris Olave in 46% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Garrett Wilson or Ja'Marr Chase? Garrett Wilson outscores Ja'Marr Chase in 46% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Garrett Wilson or Amon-Ra St. Brown? Garrett Wilson outscores Amon-Ra St. Brown in 48% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Garrett Wilson or Jordan Addison? Garrett Wilson outscores Jordan Addison in 52% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Garrett Wilson or Zay Flowers? Garrett Wilson outscores Zay Flowers in 52% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Garrett Wilson or Puka Nacua? Garrett Wilson outscores Puka Nacua in 53% of simulated games (half-PPR).
Ranked nearby (WR, half-PPR): Ja'Marr Chase (WR3), Amon-Ra St. Brown (WR4), Jordan Addison (WR6), Zay Flowers (WR7).
Compare Garrett Wilson with anyone in the Start/Sit assistant →
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings