PropPlayers › RB › NE
Should I start TreVeyon Henderson in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · NE vs BUF · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET ·
PropSims ranks TreVeyon Henderson RB34 in half-PPR for Week 4 (NE vs BUF): sit in a 12-team league. Median 6.0 points, floor 1.7 (p10), ceiling 13.5 (p85), from 10,000 simulations of the game. PPR: RB36 (median 6.6). Standard: RB31 (median 5.5).
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | RB36 | Sit | 6.6 | 1.8 | 14.1 |
| Half-PPR | RB34 | Sit | 6.0 | 1.7 | 13.5 |
| Standard | RB31 | Borderline | 5.5 | 1.5 | 13.0 |
Game environment: NE market-implied team total 21.5 vs 28.5 for BUF (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (2 games): 2% target share, 46% carry share, 49% snap rate (nflverse).
Ranked nearby (RB, half-PPR): Jacory Croskey-Merritt (RB32), Ollie Gordon II (RB33), Kyle Monangai (RB35), MarShawn Lloyd (RB36).
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings