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Should I start Jordan Addison in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · MIN vs MIA · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 4:05 PM ET ·
PropSims ranks Jordan Addison WR6 in half-PPR for Week 4 (MIN vs MIA): start in a 12-team league. Median 12.1 points, floor 3.3 (p10), ceiling 26.1 (p85), from 10,000 simulations of the game. PPR: WR8 (median 14.4). Standard: WR5 (median 9.8).
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | WR8 | Start | 14.4 | 4.4 | 29.2 |
| Half-PPR | WR6 | Start | 12.1 | 3.3 | 26.1 |
| Standard | WR5 | Start | 9.8 | 2.0 | 22.9 |
Game environment: MIN market-implied team total 24.2 vs 14.2 for MIA (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (3 games): 24% target share, 0% carry share, 90% snap rate (nflverse).
Close calls: Jordan Addison vs similar WRs
- Jordan Addison or Ja'Marr Chase? Jordan Addison outscores Ja'Marr Chase in 46% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Jordan Addison or Amon-Ra St. Brown? Jordan Addison outscores Amon-Ra St. Brown in 46% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Jordan Addison or Garrett Wilson? Jordan Addison outscores Garrett Wilson in 48% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Jordan Addison or Zay Flowers? Jordan Addison outscores Zay Flowers in 49% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Jordan Addison or Puka Nacua? Jordan Addison outscores Puka Nacua in 50% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Jordan Addison or Josh Downs? Jordan Addison outscores Josh Downs in 52% of simulated games (half-PPR).
Ranked nearby (WR, half-PPR): Amon-Ra St. Brown (WR4), Garrett Wilson (WR5), Zay Flowers (WR7), Puka Nacua (WR8).
Compare Jordan Addison with anyone in the Start/Sit assistant →
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings