PropPlayers › QB › ATL
Should I start Michael Penix Jr. in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · ATL vs NO · kickoff Mon, Oct 5, 8:15 PM ET ·
PropSims ranks Michael Penix Jr. QB26 in half-PPR for Week 4 (ATL vs NO): sit in a 12-team league. Median 13.2 points, floor 5.8 (p10), ceiling 22.8 (p85), from 10,000 simulations of the game. PPR: QB26 (median 13.2). Standard: QB26 (median 13.2).
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | QB26 | Sit | 13.2 | 5.8 | 22.8 |
| Half-PPR | QB26 | Sit | 13.2 | 5.8 | 22.8 |
| Standard | QB26 | Sit | 13.2 | 5.8 | 22.8 |
Game environment: ATL market-implied team total 23.2 vs 24.8 for NO (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (1 games): 0% target share, 0% carry share, 100% snap rate (nflverse).
Ranked nearby (QB, half-PPR): Malik Willis (QB24), Geno Smith (QB25), Jameis Winston (QB27), Sam Darnold (QB28).
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings