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Should I start Jameis Winston in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · NYG vs ARI · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET ·
PropSims ranks Jameis Winston QB27 in half-PPR for Week 4 (NYG vs ARI): sit in a 12-team league. Median 13.1 points, floor 5.9 (p10), ceiling 21.8 (p85), from 10,000 simulations of the game. PPR: QB27 (median 13.1). Standard: QB27 (median 13.1).
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | QB27 | Sit | 13.1 | 5.9 | 21.8 |
| Half-PPR | QB27 | Sit | 13.1 | 5.9 | 21.8 |
| Standard | QB27 | Sit | 13.1 | 5.9 | 21.8 |
Game environment: NYG market-implied team total 21.0 vs 23.5 for ARI (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (2 games): 0% target share, 6% carry share, 94% snap rate (nflverse).
Ranked nearby (QB, half-PPR): Geno Smith (QB25), Michael Penix Jr. (QB26), Sam Darnold (QB28), Aaron Rodgers (QB29).
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings