PropPlayers › TE › PHI
Should I start Zach Ertz in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · PHI vs LAR · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET ·
PropSims ranks Zach Ertz TE9 in half-PPR for Week 4 (PHI vs LAR): start in a 12-team league. Median 6.4 points, floor 1.2 (p10), ceiling 15.6 (p85), from 10,000 simulations of the game. PPR: TE10 (median 8.2). Standard: TE9 (median 4.4).
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | TE10 | Start | 8.2 | 1.7 | 18.0 |
| Half-PPR | TE9 | Start | 6.4 | 1.2 | 15.6 |
| Standard | TE9 | Start | 4.4 | 0.6 | 13.3 |
Game environment: PHI market-implied team total 19.5 vs 23.0 for LAR (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (1 games): 8% target share, 0% carry share, 38% snap rate (nflverse).
Close calls: Zach Ertz vs similar TEs
- Zach Ertz or Tyler Warren? Zach Ertz outscores Tyler Warren in 46% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Zach Ertz or Travis Kelce? Zach Ertz outscores Travis Kelce in 47% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Zach Ertz or Dalton Kincaid? Zach Ertz outscores Dalton Kincaid in 48% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Zach Ertz or George Kittle? Zach Ertz outscores George Kittle in 51% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Zach Ertz or Harold Fannin Jr.? Zach Ertz outscores Harold Fannin Jr. in 51% of simulated games (half-PPR).
- Zach Ertz or T.J. Hockenson? Zach Ertz outscores T.J. Hockenson in 51% of simulated games (half-PPR).
Ranked nearby (TE, half-PPR): Travis Kelce (TE7), Dalton Kincaid (TE8), George Kittle (TE10), Harold Fannin Jr. (TE11).
Compare Zach Ertz with anyone in the Start/Sit assistant →
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings