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Michael Carter and Kylen Granson out for TEN vs BAL: Tony Pollard is the biggest winner (+1.2)
AI-assisted. Written automatically from our model's own numbers with fixed templates; nothing is invented, and no language model adds facts. How this works.
This item was written after the fact from our logged refresh at Oct 4, 2026, 10:47 AM CT; the numbers are the ones the site showed at that time.
The Tennessee Titans had 3 status updates before facing BAL (Oct 4, 2026, 10:47 AM CT). What the feeds showed:
- Michael Carter (RB) was downgraded to out; he had been projected for 1.8 half-PPR points (median 0.9)
- Kylen Granson was downgraded to out (he was not in our projected rotation, so nothing changes for him)
- Tyjae Spears (RB) had his questionable tag cleared; his projection moves from 3.2 to 3.7 half-PPR points with the other changes
Who absorbs the work
The biggest beneficiary is Tony Pollard (RB), whose half-PPR projection moves from 8.7 to 9.9 (+1.2); median 7.2 to 8.3, 85th-percentile outcome 14.7 to 16.2. Volume: carries 12.2 to 13.9 (mean); rushing yards 53.7 to 61.0 (mean).
| Player | Pos | Half-PPR before | After | Change | 85th pct | Volume (mean) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Pollard | RB | 8.7 | 9.9 | +1.2 | 14.7→16.2 | carries 12.2→13.9; rushing yards 53.7→61.0 |
| Calvin Ridley | WR | 1.2 | 1.5 | +0.3 | 2.7→3.3 | — |
Moves smaller than 0.3 points are within simulation noise for this refresh (largest move on an unaffected team: 0.2) and are not listed unless a volume stat moved.
What it does to the props
| Player | Prop | Line | Sim median | Our P(over) | Fair over odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Pollard | Rushing yards | FanDuel 48.5 | 46.0→53.0 | 48%→48% | +109→+107 |
P(over) is the site's fair probability (simulation blended with the market, walk-forward) at the time of each refresh. Fair odds carry no vig. Not betting advice; 21+.
Posted lines for Michael Carter (1) no longer get a model forecast once he is out.
See the full TEN at BAL game page and the Tennessee Titans page for every projection, or the props board for current lines.
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Related updates
- Chris Moore and Joe Fagnano out for BAL vs TEN: our model moves Rashod Bateman to 7.1 points Oct 4, 2026, 10:47 AM CT
All news · Tennessee Titans · TEN at BAL · Model opinion, not advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.