PropNews › IND
Darius Slayton and 2 others out for IND vs WAS: our model moves Josh Downs to 11.1 points
AI-assisted. Written automatically from our model's own numbers with fixed templates; nothing is invented, and no language model adds facts. How this works.
This item was written after the fact from our logged refresh at Oct 4, 2026, 8:10 AM CT; the numbers are the ones the site showed at that time.
At Oct 4, 2026, 8:10 AM CT the injury feeds we track showed a change for the Indianapolis Colts, so the model re-simulated their game against WAS:
- Darius Slayton (WR) is out; he had been projected for 3.6 half-PPR points (median 2.6)
- DJ Giddens (RB) is out; he had been projected for 1.0 half-PPR points (median 0.3)
- Riley Leonard was ruled out (he was not in our projected rotation, so nothing changes for him)
- Mo Alie-Cox (TE) had his questionable tag cleared; his projection stays at about 1.1 half-PPR points
Where the volume goes
The clearest winner is Josh Downs (WR), whose half-PPR projection moves from 10.4 to 11.1 (+0.7); median 8.5 to 9.2, 85th-percentile outcome 18.3 to 19.1. Volume: receiving yards 50.3 to 54.6 (mean).
| Player | Pos | Half-PPR before | After | Change | 85th pct | Volume (mean) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Downs | WR | 10.4 | 11.1 | +0.7 | 18.3→19.1 | receiving yards 50.3→54.6 |
| Ashton Dulin | WR | 0.8 | 1.5 | +0.7 | 1.8→3.3 | — |
| Laquon Treadwell | WR | 4.5 | 5.1 | +0.6 | 8.4→9.4 | — |
| Jonathan Taylor | RB | 18.7 | 19.2 | +0.5 | 28.6→29.4 | catches 3.3→3.7; receiving yards 25.7→28.7 |
| Deion Burks | WR | 1.2 | 1.6 | +0.4 | 2.6→3.3 | — |
| Daniel Jones | QB | 17.6 | 17.9 | +0.3 | 26.0→26.2 | — |
Moves smaller than 0.3 points are within simulation noise for this refresh (largest move on an unaffected team: 0.2) and are not listed unless a volume stat moved.
See the full IND at WAS game page and the Indianapolis Colts page for every projection, or the props board for current lines.
Get the weekly email
Free, one email a week before Sunday kickoff: start/sit, model unders, news that moved our numbers, and our full graded record. 21+.
Related updates
- Luke McCaffrey and Terry McLaurin out for WAS vs IND: Antonio Williams is the biggest winner (+0.7) Oct 4, 2026, 8:10 AM CT
All news · Indianapolis Colts · IND at WAS · Model opinion, not advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.