You're offline: this is a saved copy and its numbers may be out of date. Data last updated Oct 4, 12:40 PM ET.
21+ · Not betting advice · Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER · Terms · Last updated Oct 4, 12:40 PM ET

News › WAS

Luke McCaffrey and Terry McLaurin out for WAS vs IND: Antonio Williams is the biggest winner (+0.7)

AI-assisted. Written automatically from our model's own numbers with fixed templates; nothing is invented, and no language model adds facts. How this works.

This item was written after the fact from our logged refresh at Oct 4, 2026, 8:10 AM CT; the numbers are the ones the site showed at that time.

At Oct 4, 2026, 8:10 AM CT the injury feeds we track showed a change for the Washington Commanders, so the model re-simulated their game against IND:

Where the volume goes

The clearest winner is Antonio Williams (WR), whose half-PPR projection moves from 6.4 to 7.1 (+0.7); median 5.3 to 5.7, 85th-percentile outcome 11.0 to 12.7. Volume: receiving yards 37.2 to 40.8 (mean).

PlayerPosHalf-PPR beforeAfterChange85th pctVolume (mean)
Antonio WilliamsWR6.47.1+0.711.0→12.7receiving yards 37.2→40.8
Stefon DiggsWR10.810.3−0.518.2→17.4receiving yards 58.5→55.5
Chig OkonkwoTE3.64.0+0.45.6→7.7—
Jaylin LaneWR1.62.0+0.43.5→4.1—

Moves smaller than 0.3 points are within simulation noise for this refresh (largest move on an unaffected team: 0.2) and are not listed unless a volume stat moved.

Not everyone gains: Stefon Diggs drops from 10.8 to 10.3 (−0.5).

See the full IND at WAS game page and the Washington Commanders page for every projection, or the props board for current lines.

Get the weekly email

Free, one email a week before Sunday kickoff: start/sit, model unders, news that moved our numbers, and our full graded record. 21+.

Related updates

All news · Washington Commanders · IND at WAS · Model opinion, not advice. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.