PropWeek 4 games › DAL at HOU
Dallas Cowboys at Houston Texans: Week 4 projections and props
Kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET ·
The market implies 22.8 points for DAL and 25.8 for HOU. Our model projects Dak Prescott (DAL vs HOU) for a median 236 passing yards (FanDuel line 266.5; 10th-90th percentile 142-343) and 12 rushing yards (FanDuel line 9.5; 10th-90th percentile 0-38) in Week 4. Our model projects C.J. Stroud (HOU vs DAL) for a median 240 passing yards (FanDuel line 244.5; 10th-90th percentile 156-327) and 12 rushing yards (FanDuel line 11.5; 10th-90th percentile 0-37) in Week 4.
Dallas Cowboys
| Rank | Player | Opp | Half-PPR median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 | PPR median | Std median | Key stats (median) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB14 | Dak Prescott | HOU | 16.3 | 8.8 | 24.9 | 16.3 | 16.3 | 236 passing yards, 12 rushing yards |
| WR7 | CeeDee Lamb | HOU | 12.3 | 4.4 | 23.2 | 15.2 | 9.5 | 75 receiving yards, 6 receptions |
| RB15 | Javonte Williams | HOU | 11.9 | 4.7 | 22.1 | 13.2 | 10.7 | 57 rushing yards, 9 receiving yards |
| WR16 | George Pickens | HOU | 9.8 | 3.1 | 19.0 | 12.3 | 7.3 | 56 receiving yards, 5 receptions |
| TE19 | Jake Ferguson | HOU | 4.4 | 0.9 | 11.3 | 6.1 | 2.6 | 21 receiving yards, 3 receptions |
| WR57 | Ryan Flournoy | HOU | 4.3 | 1.4 | 10.1 | 5.7 | 2.9 | 22 receiving yards, 2 receptions |
| RB62 | Tyler Goodson | HOU | 1.5 | 0.0 | 5.6 | 1.7 | 1.2 | |
| WR109 | KaVontae Turpin (limited) | HOU | 0.2 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | |
| RB97 | Israel Abanikanda (limited) | HOU | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 | |
| RB112 | Hunter Luepke (limited) | HOU | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| TE83 | Luke Schoonmaker (limited) | HOU | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| TE72 | Brevyn Spann-Ford (limited) | HOU | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| WR151 | Jonathan Mingo (limited) | HOU | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| WR131 | Anthony Smith (limited) | HOU | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Houston Texans
| Rank | Player | Opp | Half-PPR median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 | PPR median | Std median | Key stats (median) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB5 | C.J. Stroud | DAL | 17.2 | 9.7 | 26.4 | 17.2 | 17.2 | 240 passing yards, 12 rushing yards |
| WR12 | Nico Collins | DAL | 10.7 | 3.3 | 21.4 | 13.2 | 8.4 | 59 receiving yards, 5 receptions |
| RB29 | David Montgomery | DAL | 6.9 | 1.5 | 15.6 | 7.7 | 6.1 | 29 rushing yards, 6 receiving yards |
| TE10 | Dalton Schultz | DAL | 6.4 | 1.7 | 14.2 | 8.6 | 4.2 | 35 receiving yards, 4 receptions |
| RB38 | Woody Marks | DAL | 4.6 | 0.5 | 12.5 | 5.5 | 3.8 | 17 rushing yards, 5 receiving yards |
| RB40 | Jawhar Jordan | DAL | 4.5 | 1.0 | 10.9 | 5.3 | 3.8 | 22 rushing yards, 5 receiving yards |
| WR60 | Xavier Hutchinson | DAL | 4.0 | 0.7 | 9.4 | 5.2 | 2.8 | 21 receiving yards, 2 receptions |
| WR80 | Kayshon Boutte (limited) | DAL | 2.3 | 0.0 | 7.4 | 3.0 | 1.6 | |
| TE43 | Foster Moreau (limited) | DAL | 1.8 | 0.0 | 4.2 | 2.3 | 1.2 | |
| WR93 | Jaylin Noel (limited) | DAL | 1.6 | 0.0 | 5.2 | 2.1 | 1.1 | |
| WR101 | Jared Wayne (limited) | DAL | 1.0 | 0.0 | 4.2 | 1.4 | 0.5 | |
| WR144 | Lewis Bond (limited) | DAL | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| TE73 | Cade Stover (limited) | DAL | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| WR130 | Dominique Robinson (limited) | DAL | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Both teams come from the same 10,000 simulations of this game, so player outcomes are correlated the way the game script makes them. Click a player for stat projections and prop lines.
Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. All Week 4 games · Rankings · Props board