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Washington Commanders Week 4 projections and player props
IND at WAS · Sun, Oct 4, 9:30 AM ET · game page · opponent: Indianapolis Colts ·
The market implies 21.0 points for the Washington Commanders and 25.5 for Indianapolis Colts (median of 11 books). Our model projects Marcus Mariota (WAS vs IND) for a median 228 passing yards (10th-90th percentile 145-323) and 17 rushing yards (10th-90th percentile 0-47.1) in Week 4. Our model projects Stefon Diggs (WAS vs IND) for a median 47 receiving yards (10th-90th percentile 15-108) and 5 receptions (10th-90th percentile 2-8) in Week 4.
| Rank | Player | Opp | Half-PPR median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 | PPR median | Std median | Key stats (median) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB17 | Marcus Mariota | IND | 15.8 | 8.8 | 23.9 | 15.8 | 15.8 | 228 passing yards, 17 rushing yards |
| WR21 | Stefon Diggs | IND | 8.6 | 2.7 | 17.4 | 11.0 | 6.1 | 47 receiving yards, 5 receptions |
| RB31 | Jacory Croskey-Merritt | IND | 6.8 | 1.9 | 14.9 | 7.4 | 6.3 | 39 rushing yards, 2 receiving yards |
| WR42 | Antonio Williams | IND | 5.7 | 1.3 | 12.7 | 7.4 | 3.9 | 33 receiving yards, 3 receptions |
| RB33 | Austin Ekeler | IND | 5.6 | 1.4 | 12.4 | 6.4 | 4.9 | 29 rushing yards, 5 receiving yards |
| TE34 | Chig Okonkwo | IND | 2.9 | 0.0 | 7.7 | 3.9 | 1.7 | 16 receiving yards, 2 receptions |
| WR76 | Treylon Burks | IND | 2.6 | 0.0 | 8.1 | 3.4 | 1.7 | |
| WR83 | Dyami Brown | IND | 2.0 | 0.0 | 5.9 | 2.8 | 1.3 | |
| TE42 | John Bates (limited) | IND | 1.9 | 0.0 | 3.6 | 2.5 | 1.2 | |
| TE46 | Ben Sinnott (limited) | IND | 1.5 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 2.1 | 1.0 | |
| WR97 | Jaylin Lane (limited) | IND | 1.2 | 0.0 | 4.1 | 1.7 | 0.7 | |
| TE52 | Colson Yankoff (limited) | IND | 1.1 | 0.0 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 0.6 | |
| RB74 | Kaytron Allen (limited) | IND | 0.9 | 0.0 | 4.6 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
Players sorted by half-PPR median. Floor = 10th percentile, ceiling = 85th percentile of 10,000 simulations of the game. Click a player for stat projections and every prop line we price.
Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. All teams · Week 4 rankings · Props board