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Colby Parkinson and 2 others out for LAR vs PHI: Davante Adams gains +1.0 points in our sims
AI-assisted. Written automatically from our model's own numbers with fixed templates; nothing is invented, and no language model adds facts. How this works.
This item was written after the fact from our logged refresh at Oct 4, 2026, 11:04 AM CT; the numbers are the ones the site showed at that time.
Our live updater picked up the following Rams status changes at Oct 4, 2026, 11:04 AM CT and re-ran the LAR-PHI simulations (10,000 games):
- Colby Parkinson (TE) was downgraded to out; he had been projected for 2.6 half-PPR points (median 2.3)
- CJ Daniels was ruled out (he was not in our projected rotation, so nothing changes for him)
- Ty Simpson was downgraded to out (he was not in our projected rotation, so nothing changes for him)
Who absorbs the work
Most of the extra work flows to Davante Adams (WR), whose half-PPR projection moves from 12.0 to 13.0 (+1.0); median 10.3 to 11.1, 85th-percentile outcome 20.6 to 22.3. Volume: receiving yards 73.9 to 78.3 (mean).
| Player | Pos | Half-PPR before | After | Change | 85th pct | Volume (mean) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davante Adams | WR | 12.0 | 13.0 | +1.0 | 20.6→22.3 | receiving yards 73.9→78.3 |
| Tyler Higbee | TE | 4.2 | 4.9 | +0.7 | 8.3→9.5 | — |
| Konata Mumpfield | WR | 2.3 | 2.8 | +0.5 | 5.3→5.9 | — |
| Davis Allen | TE | 1.0 | 1.4 | +0.4 | 2.1→2.6 | — |
| Tutu Atwell | WR | 0.6 | 0.9 | +0.3 | 1.5→2.2 | — |
Moves smaller than 0.3 points are within simulation noise for this refresh (largest move on an unaffected team: 0.2) and are not listed unless a volume stat moved.
Prop lines: fair-price changes
| Player | Prop | Line | Sim median | Our P(over) | Fair over odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davante Adams | Receptions | FanDuel 4.5 | 4.0→5.0 | 52%→53% | −109→−112 |
| Davante Adams | Receiving yards | FanDuel 65.5 | 62.0→66.0 | 48%→49% | +106→+105 |
| Tyler Higbee | Receiving yards | FanDuel 29.5 | 14.0→17.0 | 47%→48% | +112→+110 |
P(over) is the site's fair probability (simulation blended with the market, walk-forward) at the time of each refresh. Fair odds carry no vig. Not betting advice; 21+.
Posted lines for CJ Daniels (1) no longer get a model forecast once he is out.
See the full LAR at PHI game page and the Los Angeles Rams page for every projection, or the props board for current lines.
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