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Week 5 DFS value plays for DraftKings and FanDuel
AI-assisted. Written automatically from our model's own numbers with fixed templates; nothing is invented, and no language model adds facts. How this works.
Week 5 main-slate value by salary tier for DraftKings (full PPR) and FanDuel (half PPR), from our 10,000-simulation projections in each site's own scoring. Value is projected points per $1,000 of salary; the ceiling value uses the 90th percentile, which matters more in tournaments. Build and export lineups in the optimizer.
Early edition: Week 5 model run exported Oct 5, 2026, 11:26 PM CT (10,000 simulations per game). Injury statuses from ESPN's public feed as of Oct 5, 2026, 11:06 PM CT. Statuses, roles and prices change during the week; the live pages update with every model refresh. Model opinion for entertainment and information, not betting advice. 21+. Projections change with injury news; lines and salaries move, so check before entering.
DraftKings value plays
Best value by salary tier on DraftKings: Under $5,000: Malik Willis (QB, $4,600, 16.5 points, 3.59 per $1,000); $5,000–$6,900: Deshaun Watson (QB, $5,100, 18.0 points, 3.53 per $1,000); $7,000 and up: Nico Collins (WR, $7,500, 20.0 points, 2.67 per $1,000).
DraftKings QB: Malik Willis leads at 3.59 points per $1,000 ($4,600).
| Player | Matchup | Salary | Mean | Ceiling (p90) | Pts/$1k | Ceiling/$1k |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Willis MIA | vs CIN | $4,600 | 16.5 | 27.3 | 3.59 | 5.93 |
| Deshaun Watson CLE | at NYJ | $5,100 | 18.0 | 28.1 | 3.53 | 5.51 |
| Jacoby Brissett ARI | vs DET | $5,500 | 19.4 | 31.4 | 3.53 | 5.71 |
| Justin Herbert LAC | vs DEN | $5,100 | 17.7 | 27.9 | 3.47 | 5.47 |
| Bo Nix DEN | at LAC | $5,600 | 18.7 | 30.0 | 3.34 | 5.36 |
| Drake Maye NE | vs LV | $6,300 | 20.7 | 32.4 | 3.29 | 5.14 |
DraftKings QB: best projected points per $1,000 (mean at least 12 DraftKings points).
DraftKings RB: Jaylen Warren leads at 3.10 points per $1,000 ($6,700).
| Player | Matchup | Salary | Mean | Ceiling (p90) | Pts/$1k | Ceiling/$1k |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Warren PIT | vs IND | $6,700 | 20.8 | 35.7 | 3.10 | 5.33 |
| Aaron Jones MIN | at NO | $6,500 | 19.5 | 34.1 | 3.00 | 5.25 |
| Emanuel Wilson SEA | vs SF | $5,300 | 15.9 | 30.2 | 3.00 | 5.70 |
| Braelon Allen NYJ | vs CLE | $5,400 | 14.7 | 27.0 | 2.72 | 5.00 |
| Jahmyr Gibbs DET | at ARI | $9,800 | 24.6 | 42.5 | 2.51 | 4.34 |
| Chase Brown CIN | at MIA | $6,900 | 16.8 | 29.6 | 2.43 | 4.29 |
DraftKings RB: best projected points per $1,000 (mean at least 7 DraftKings points).
DraftKings WR: Michael Wilson leads at 2.73 points per $1,000 ($6,200).
| Player | Matchup | Salary | Mean | Ceiling (p90) | Pts/$1k | Ceiling/$1k |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Wilson ARI | vs DET | $6,200 | 16.9 | 31.8 | 2.73 | 5.13 |
| Tre Harris LAC | vs DEN | $4,100 | 11.1 | 22.8 | 2.71 | 5.56 |
| Nico Collins HOU | at TEN | $7,500 | 20.0 | 37.0 | 2.67 | 4.93 |
| DK Metcalf PIT | vs IND | $5,400 | 14.1 | 27.7 | 2.61 | 5.13 |
| Jaylen Waddle DEN | at LAC | $6,100 | 15.4 | 29.9 | 2.52 | 4.90 |
| Garrett Wilson NYJ | vs CLE | $6,600 | 16.4 | 29.9 | 2.48 | 4.53 |
DraftKings WR: best projected points per $1,000 (mean at least 7 DraftKings points).
DraftKings TE: Hunter Henry leads at 2.86 points per $1,000 ($3,700).
| Player | Matchup | Salary | Mean | Ceiling (p90) | Pts/$1k | Ceiling/$1k |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Henry NE | vs LV | $3,700 | 10.6 | 21.6 | 2.86 | 5.84 |
| Oronde Gadsden II LAC | vs DEN | $3,600 | 9.9 | 20.6 | 2.75 | 5.72 |
| T.J. Hockenson MIN | at NO | $4,800 | 13.2 | 25.5 | 2.75 | 5.31 |
| AJ Barner SEA | vs SF | $3,200 | 8.7 | 18.2 | 2.72 | 5.69 |
| Tucker Kraft GB | vs CHI | $4,700 | 12.7 | 25.1 | 2.70 | 5.34 |
| Tyler Warren IND | at PIT | $5,000 | 13.2 | 24.5 | 2.64 | 4.90 |
DraftKings TE: best projected points per $1,000 (mean at least 5 DraftKings points).
FanDuel value plays
Best value by salary tier on FanDuel: Under $6,000: Braelon Allen (RB, $5,900, 13.5 points, 2.29 per $1,000); $6,000–$7,900: Aaron Jones (RB, $6,200, 18.2 points, 2.94 per $1,000); $8,000 and up: Jared Goff (QB, $8,100, 19.9 points, 2.46 per $1,000).
FanDuel QB: Jacoby Brissett leads at 2.85 points per $1,000 ($6,800).
| Player | Matchup | Salary | Mean | Ceiling (p90) | Pts/$1k | Ceiling/$1k |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacoby Brissett ARI | vs DET | $6,800 | 19.4 | 31.4 | 2.85 | 4.62 |
| Drake Maye NE | vs LV | $7,800 | 20.7 | 32.4 | 2.65 | 4.15 |
| Deshaun Watson CLE | at NYJ | $6,900 | 18.0 | 28.1 | 2.61 | 4.07 |
| C.J. Stroud HOU | at TEN | $7,300 | 18.4 | 29.5 | 2.52 | 4.04 |
| Tyler Shough NO | vs MIN | $7,700 | 19.3 | 30.3 | 2.51 | 3.94 |
| Malik Willis MIA | vs CIN | $6,600 | 16.5 | 27.3 | 2.50 | 4.14 |
FanDuel QB: best projected points per $1,000 (mean at least 12 FanDuel points).
FanDuel RB: Aaron Jones leads at 2.94 points per $1,000 ($6,200).
| Player | Matchup | Salary | Mean | Ceiling (p90) | Pts/$1k | Ceiling/$1k |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Jones MIN | at NO | $6,200 | 18.2 | 32.6 | 2.94 | 5.26 |
| Jaylen Warren PIT | vs IND | $6,700 | 19.1 | 33.6 | 2.85 | 5.01 |
| Emanuel Wilson SEA | vs SF | $6,000 | 15.3 | 29.2 | 2.55 | 4.87 |
| Braelon Allen NYJ | vs CLE | $5,900 | 13.5 | 25.5 | 2.29 | 4.32 |
| Jahmyr Gibbs DET | at ARI | $10,000 | 22.6 | 40.1 | 2.26 | 4.01 |
| D'Andre Swift CHI | at GB | $6,500 | 13.6 | 26.2 | 2.09 | 4.03 |
FanDuel RB: best projected points per $1,000 (mean at least 7 FanDuel points).
FanDuel WR: Michael Wilson leads at 2.17 points per $1,000 ($6,400).
| Player | Matchup | Salary | Mean | Ceiling (p90) | Pts/$1k | Ceiling/$1k |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Wilson ARI | vs DET | $6,400 | 13.9 | 27.3 | 2.17 | 4.27 |
| Nico Collins HOU | at TEN | $7,800 | 16.9 | 32.3 | 2.17 | 4.14 |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA | vs SF | $9,300 | 18.2 | 34.2 | 1.96 | 3.68 |
| Jaylen Waddle DEN | at LAC | $6,600 | 12.9 | 25.7 | 1.95 | 3.89 |
| Christian Watson GB | vs CHI | $7,000 | 12.8 | 26.5 | 1.83 | 3.79 |
| Garrett Wilson NYJ | vs CLE | $7,400 | 13.2 | 25.2 | 1.78 | 3.41 |
FanDuel WR: best projected points per $1,000 (mean at least 7 FanDuel points).
FanDuel TE: T.J. Hockenson leads at 2.00 points per $1,000 ($5,200).
| Player | Matchup | Salary | Mean | Ceiling (p90) | Pts/$1k | Ceiling/$1k |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Hockenson MIN | at NO | $5,200 | 10.4 | 20.8 | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| Tyler Warren IND | at PIT | $5,500 | 10.2 | 19.8 | 1.85 | 3.60 |
| Tucker Kraft GB | vs CHI | $5,600 | 10.3 | 21.1 | 1.84 | 3.77 |
| Hunter Henry NE | vs LV | $5,100 | 8.6 | 18.5 | 1.69 | 3.63 |
| Trey McBride ARI | vs DET | $7,200 | 12.0 | 24.0 | 1.67 | 3.33 |
| George Kittle SF | at SEA | $6,700 | 11.1 | 23.5 | 1.66 | 3.51 |
FanDuel TE: best projected points per $1,000 (mean at least 5 FanDuel points).
Mean and ceiling are in each site's scoring, including its yardage bonuses. Players listed out are excluded. Model opinion for entertainment and information, not betting advice. 21+. Projections change with injury news; lines and salaries move, so check before entering.
More: PPR rankings by position, the start/sit tool, DFS projections, every game page and the Thursday TB at DAL showdown optimizer, plus salaries vs our model, and the Thursday showdown preview.
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Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Methodology · Track record