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Week 5 early lines: DraftKings and FanDuel salaries vs our model
AI-assisted. Written automatically from our model's own numbers with fixed templates; nothing is invented, and no language model adds facts. How this works.
The first Week 5 prices are out: DraftKings and FanDuel posted their main-slate salaries, and we compared each one with our early-run projection in that site's scoring (DraftKings full PPR, FanDuel half PPR). Salary rank is where the price puts a player at his position; PropSims rank is where our mean puts him. We list both directions on purpose: players our model rates above their price and players it rates below. Lines move; check before entering.
Early edition: Week 5 model run exported Oct 5, 2026, 11:26 PM CT (10,000 simulations per game). Injury statuses from ESPN's public feed as of Oct 5, 2026, 11:06 PM CT. Statuses, roles and prices change during the week; the live pages update with every model refresh. Model opinion for entertainment and information, not betting advice. 21+. Projections change with injury news; lines and salaries move, so check before entering.
Player prop lines: none yet. We have no Week 5 prop lines in our logs: our only display-licensed source is a paid pull that runs on a fixed schedule, and the public pick'em boards we checked were not readable from our server. Prop comparisons will appear on the props board once lines are logged. DFS salaries are this page's early market.
DraftKings salaries vs our model
Model above the price on DraftKings: Tre Harris ($4,100, salary rank WR38, our rank WR21). Model below the price: Stefon Diggs ($5,500, salary rank WR18, our rank WR32).
| Player | Pos | Salary | Salary rank | PropSims rank | Mean | Pts/$1k | Call | Flag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Harris LAC | WR | $4,100 | WR38 | WR21 | 11.1 | 2.71 | Model above price | — |
| Isaiah Williams NYJ | WR | $3,700 | WR47 | WR35 | 8.3 | 2.24 | Model above price | — |
| Emanuel Wilson SEA | RB | $5,300 | RB19 | RB8 | 15.9 | 3.00 | Model above price | — |
| DK Metcalf PIT | WR | $5,400 | WR20 | WR11 | 14.1 | 2.61 | Model above price | — |
| Malik Willis MIA | QB | $4,600 | QB21 | QB13 | 16.5 | 3.59 | Model above price | — |
| Braelon Allen NYJ | RB | $5,400 | RB17 | RB9 | 14.7 | 2.72 | Model above price | — |
| Romeo Doubs NE | WR | $5,000 | WR25 | WR17 | 12.0 | 2.40 | Model above price | — |
| Hunter Henry NE | TE | $3,700 | TE16 | TE8 | 10.6 | 2.86 | Model above price | — |
| Stefon Diggs WAS | WR | $5,500 | WR18 | WR32 | 9.2 | 1.67 | Model below price | — |
| Raheim Sanders CLE | RB | $4,700 | RB30 | RB42 | 3.1 | 0.66 | Model below price | — |
| Devaughn Vele NO | WR | $5,200 | WR22 | WR34 | 8.6 | 1.65 | Model below price | — |
| Ladd McConkey LAC | WR | $5,600 | WR17 | WR27 | 9.7 | 1.73 | Model below price | Questionable in ESPN feed |
| Mike Evans SF | WR | $6,500 | WR8 | WR18 | 12.0 | 1.85 | Model below price | — |
| Colston Loveland CHI | TE | $4,600 | TE8 | TE17 | 8.0 | 1.74 | Model below price | — |
| Kirk Cousins LV | QB | $5,400 | QB11 | QB19 | 14.7 | 2.72 | Model below price | — |
| Omarion Hampton LAC | RB | $6,000 | RB11 | RB19 | 11.1 | 1.85 | Model below price | — |
DraftKings main slate. Mean in DraftKings scoring (full PPR + bonuses). Equal numbers of each direction. Flag: injury listing for the player, or an out/doubtful teammate whose work our projection moves to him.
FanDuel salaries vs our model
Model above the price on FanDuel: Quentin Johnston ($5,300, salary rank WR44, our rank WR26). Model below the price: CJ Donaldson ($5,100, salary rank RB35, our rank RB55).
| Player | Pos | Salary | Salary rank | PropSims rank | Mean | Pts/$1k | Call | Flag |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quentin Johnston LAC | WR | $5,300 | WR44 | WR26 | 8.0 | 1.51 | Model above price | — |
| Tre Harris LAC | WR | $5,500 | WR37 | WR21 | 9.2 | 1.67 | Model above price | — |
| Wan'Dale Robinson TEN | WR | $5,200 | WR46 | WR31 | 7.6 | 1.46 | Model above price | — |
| Jacoby Brissett ARI | QB | $6,800 | QB17 | QB4 | 19.4 | 2.85 | Model above price | — |
| Denzel Boston CLE | WR | $5,800 | WR27 | WR15 | 10.2 | 1.76 | Model above price | — |
| Aaron Jones MIN | RB | $6,200 | RB14 | RB3 | 18.2 | 2.94 | Model above price | — |
| Emanuel Wilson SEA | RB | $6,000 | RB18 | RB7 | 15.3 | 2.55 | Model above price | — |
| Michael Wilson ARI | WR | $6,400 | WR16 | WR5 | 13.9 | 2.17 | Model above price | — |
| CJ Donaldson NO | RB | $5,100 | RB35 | RB55 | 1.0 | 0.20 | Model below price | — |
| Sione Vaki DET | RB | $5,100 | RB36 | RB50 | 1.4 | 0.27 | Model below price | — |
| Omarion Hampton LAC | RB | $7,100 | RB6 | RB19 | 10.4 | 1.46 | Model below price | — |
| Deebo Samuel Sr. SF | WR | $6,900 | WR11 | WR23 | 8.4 | 1.22 | Model below price | — |
| Rome Odunze CHI | WR | $6,200 | WR18 | WR29 | 7.8 | 1.26 | Model below price | — |
| Devaughn Vele NO | WR | $6,000 | WR23 | WR34 | 7.0 | 1.17 | Model below price | — |
| Stefon Diggs WAS | WR | $6,100 | WR21 | WR32 | 7.6 | 1.25 | Model below price | — |
| Colston Loveland CHI | TE | $5,700 | TE5 | TE16 | 6.5 | 1.14 | Model below price | — |
FanDuel main slate. Mean in FanDuel scoring (half PPR + bonuses). Equal numbers of each direction. Flag: injury listing for the player, or an out/doubtful teammate whose work our projection moves to him.
Honest uncertainty
Early salaries are set before practice reports, so some gaps close by Sunday. Our projections also move: they are re-run as statuses change. A model-above-price player is not a guaranteed value and a model-below-price player can still score; these are the places where the price and the simulations disagree today. Pick'em (Underdog, PrizePicks) and Kalshi markets are the next lines we compare once they are logged.
More: PPR rankings by position, the start/sit tool, DFS projections, every game page and the Thursday TB at DAL showdown optimizer, plus Week 5 DFS value plays.
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Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Methodology · Track record