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New Orleans Saints Week 4 projections and player props
ATL at NO · Mon, Oct 5, 8:15 PM ET · game page · opponent: Atlanta Falcons ·
The market implies 24.8 points for the New Orleans Saints and 23.2 for Atlanta Falcons (median of 11 books). Our model projects Tyler Shough (NO vs ATL) for a median 239 passing yards (FanDuel line 254.5; 10th-90th percentile 140-331) and 17 rushing yards (FanDuel line 16.5; 10th-90th percentile 1-46) in Week 4. Our model projects Chris Olave (NO vs ATL) for a median 63 receiving yards (FanDuel line 85.5; 10th-90th percentile 23-138) and 5 receptions (FanDuel line 7.5; 10th-90th percentile 2-9) in Week 4.
| Rank | Player | Opp | Half-PPR median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 | PPR median | Std median | Key stats (median) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB3 | Tyler Shough | ATL | 19.0 | 10.3 | 29.0 | 19.0 | 19.0 | 239 passing yards, 17 rushing yards |
| WR10 | Chris Olave | ATL | 11.5 | 4.0 | 22.1 | 14.3 | 8.7 | 63 receiving yards, 5 receptions |
| RB24 | Alvin Kamara | ATL | 8.3 | 2.7 | 16.8 | 9.3 | 7.4 | 37 rushing yards, 6 receiving yards |
| WR47 | Devaughn Vele | ATL | 5.4 | 1.7 | 11.8 | 6.9 | 3.8 | 28 receiving yards, 3 receptions |
| TE15 | Juwan Johnson | ATL | 5.2 | 0.9 | 13.1 | 6.8 | 3.5 | 27 receiving yards, 3 receptions |
| RB43 | Kendre Miller | ATL | 3.4 | 0.4 | 9.7 | 3.7 | 2.9 | 19 rushing yards, 0 receiving yards |
| TE40 | Noah FantQ (limited) | ATL | 2.4 | 0.0 | 4.9 | 3.1 | 1.6 | |
| WR92 | Bryce Lance (limited) | ATL | 1.7 | 0.0 | 5.5 | 2.3 | 1.1 | |
| RB93 | CJ Donaldson (limited) | ATL | 0.2 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 0.0 | |
| WR141 | Kevin Austin Jr. (limited) | ATL | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| TE86 | Oscar Delp (limited) | ATL | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Players sorted by half-PPR median. Floor = 10th percentile, ceiling = 85th percentile of 10,000 simulations of the game. Click a player for stat projections and every prop line we price.
Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. All teams · Week 4 rankings · Props board