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Minnesota Vikings Week 4 projections and player props
MIA at MIN · Sun, Oct 4, 4:05 PM ET · game page · opponent: Miami Dolphins ·
The market implies 24.2 points for the Minnesota Vikings and 14.2 for Miami Dolphins (median of 11 books). Our model projects Aaron Jones Sr. (MIN vs MIA) for a median 75 rushing yards (FanDuel line 65.5; 10th-90th percentile 40-140) and 13 receiving yards (FanDuel line 19.5; 10th-90th percentile 0-41) in Week 4. Our model projects Kyler Murray (MIN vs MIA) for a median 181 passing yards (FanDuel line 207.5; 10th-90th percentile 96-276) and 13 rushing yards (FanDuel line 21.5; 10th-90th percentile 0-40) in Week 4.
| Rank | Player | Opp | Half-PPR median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 | PPR median | Std median | Key stats (median) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB6 | Aaron Jones Sr. | MIA | 16.1 | 6.7 | 28.5 | 17.4 | 14.8 | 75 rushing yards, 13 receiving yards |
| QB27 | Kyler Murray | MIA | 12.3 | 5.0 | 22.1 | 12.3 | 12.3 | 181 passing yards, 13 rushing yards |
| WR24 | Jordan Addison | MIA | 8.3 | 2.0 | 17.8 | 10.2 | 6.4 | 45 receiving yards, 4 receptions |
| TE8 | T.J. Hockenson | MIA | 6.6 | 1.8 | 14.7 | 9.0 | 4.2 | 32 receiving yards, 4 receptions |
| WR66 | Jauan Jennings | MIA | 3.3 | 0.0 | 8.4 | 4.4 | 2.2 | 17 receiving yards, 2 receptions |
| WR86 | Tai Felton (limited) | MIA | 1.9 | 0.0 | 5.8 | 2.5 | 1.2 | |
| RB84 | Demond Claiborne (limited) | MIA | 0.6 | -0.1 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.4 | |
| RB85 | DeeJay Dallas (limited) | MIA | 0.6 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.2 | |
| WR122 | Myles Price (limited) | MIA | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| TE91 | Gavin Bartholomew (limited) | MIA | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Players sorted by half-PPR median. Floor = 10th percentile, ceiling = 85th percentile of 10,000 simulations of the game. Click a player for stat projections and every prop line we price.
Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. All teams · Week 4 rankings · Props board