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EARLYWeek 5 early projections · run Tue, Oct 6, 9:01 AM CT

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Terry McLaurin and Rachaad White questionable for WAS vs NYG: no material change in our projections

AI-assisted. Written automatically from our model's own numbers with fixed templates; nothing is invented, and no language model adds facts. How this works.

Our live updater picked up the following Commanders status changes at Oct 6, 2026, 3:01 PM CT and re-ran the WAS-NYG simulations (10,000 games):

Fantasy outlook

PPR projection (mean of 10,000 sims) and weekly positional rank before and after this change. Verdicts use the same tiers as our start/sit page: top 12 QB/TE and top 24 RB/WR are starts, then flex range (QB 13-16, RB 25-32, WR 25-36, TE 13-16), otherwise bench. Rest-of-season impact not shown: our model projects one week at a time.

Who benefits

If he sits this week: (play probability about 54%) Half-PPR projection change vs the with-him baseline from our injury redistribution sims.

Rest of season

This looks like a short-term / one-week designation, so the rest-of-season impact is minimal.

Source: live re-sim before/after (10,000 games). Numbers are half-PPR means from our own-model sims with vacated usage redistributed by the same injury rules we use in production. Model opinion, not advice. 21+.

Volume details from the re-sim

PlayerPosHalf-PPR beforeAfterChange85th pctVolume (mean)
Stefon DiggsWR8.96.5−2.415.7→11.5catches 3.3→2.4; receiving yards 36.0→26.4
Jacory Croskey-MerrittRB10.18.2−1.917.5→15.0carries 12.5→10.5; rushing yards 44.7→37.3
Antonio WilliamsWR5.74.0−1.710.4→7.7—
Chig OkonkwoTE4.02.7−1.36.6→4.8—
Austin EkelerRB5.94.7−1.210.9→9.1carries 7.2→5.9; rushing yards 33.5→27.0
Treylon BurksWR3.72.7−1.07.9→5.9—
Dyami BrownWR3.32.3−1.06.8→5.0—
Kaytron AllenRB2.62.1−0.56.9→5.8—
John BatesTE1.10.7−0.42.3→1.6—
Ben SinnottTE0.90.6−0.32.1→1.5—

Moves smaller than 0.3 points are within simulation noise for this refresh (largest move on an unaffected team: 0.1) and are not listed unless a volume stat moved.

One projection goes down: Stefon Diggs drops from 8.9 to 6.5 (−2.4).

See the full NYG at WAS game page and the Washington Commanders page for every projection, or the props board for current lines.

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