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Matthew Hibner Week 5 PPR projection, props and start/sit
EARLYEarly Week 5 projections · run Mon, Oct 5, 11:06 PM CT · last updated Mon, Oct 5, 11:26 PM CT
Week 5, 2026 · BAL vs ATL · game projections · kickoff Sun, Oct 11, 8:20 PM ET ·
PropSims says sit Matthew Hibner in Week 5 unless Mark Andrews is out: as a limited-role TE his median is 3.0 PPR points, with a significant role in 4% of our 10,000 simulations.
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | TE35 | Sit | 3.0 | 0.0 | 5.5 |
| Half-PPR | TE35 | Sit | 2.3 | 0.0 | 4.5 |
| Standard | TE34 | Sit | 1.6 | 0.0 | 3.5 |
Ranked nearby (TE, PPR): Eli Raridon (TE33), Dawson Knox (TE34), Jeremy Ruckert (TE36), Cole Kmet (TE37).
Matthew Hibner game log, 2026
| Week | Opp | PPR pts | Pass yds | Rush yds | Rec | Targets | Rec yds | TDs | Our median |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | TEN | 5.4 | 2 | 2 | 34 | 0 | — | ||
| 3 | DAL | 10.3 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 1 | — | ||
| 1 | IND | 2.3 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 0 | — |
Box scores: nflverse (CC-BY 4.0), full PPR. "Our median" is the PPR median we published before that game (shown from Week 4 on, when we started keeping it).
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 5 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · Week 5 TE rankings · Baltimore Ravens projections