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Atlanta Falcons Week 4 projections and player props
ATL at NO · Mon, Oct 5, 8:15 PM ET · game page · opponent: New Orleans Saints ·
The market implies 23.2 points for the Atlanta Falcons and 24.8 for New Orleans Saints (median of 11 books). Our model projects Bijan Robinson (ATL vs NO) for a median 90 rushing yards (FanDuel line 85.5; 10th-90th percentile 53-162) and 28 receiving yards (FanDuel line 39.5; 10th-90th percentile 3-75) in Week 4. Our model projects Michael Penix Jr. (ATL vs NO) for a median 202 passing yards (FanDuel line 224.5; 10th-90th percentile 107-308) and 1 rushing yards (FanDuel line 5.5; 10th-90th percentile -1-18) in Week 4.
| Rank | Player | Opp | Half-PPR median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 | PPR median | Std median | Key stats (median) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB1 | Bijan Robinson | NO | 20.4 | 9.8 | 33.2 | 22.2 | 18.5 | 90 rushing yards, 28 receiving yards |
| QB29 | Michael Penix Jr. | NO | 12.0 | 5.3 | 21.4 | 12.0 | 12.0 | 202 passing yards, 1 rushing yards |
| WR18 | Drake London | NO | 9.6 | 2.8 | 19.8 | 11.8 | 7.4 | 58 receiving yards, 4 receptions |
| RB41 | Brian Robinson | NO | 3.7 | 0.7 | 9.9 | 3.9 | 3.4 | 25 rushing yards, 0 receiving yards |
| TE26 | Kyle Pitts | NO | 3.4 | 0.0 | 9.4 | 4.6 | 2.1 | 18 receiving yards, 2 receptions |
| WR91 | Jahan Dotson | NO | 1.7 | 0.0 | 5.6 | 2.3 | 1.1 | |
| WR108 | Olamide Zaccheaus (limited) | NO | 0.8 | 0.0 | 2.6 | 1.3 | 0.3 | |
| TE58 | Austin Hooper (limited) | NO | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| TE85 | Charlie Woerner (limited) | NO | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| WR133 | Zachariah Branch (limited) | NO | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.9 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Players sorted by half-PPR median. Floor = 10th percentile, ceiling = 85th percentile of 10,000 simulations of the game. Click a player for stat projections and every prop line we price.
Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. All teams · Week 4 rankings · Props board