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Should I start Justice Hill in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · BAL vs TEN · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET ·
PropSims ranks Justice Hill RB62 in half-PPR for Week 4 (BAL vs TEN): sit in a 12-team league. Median 2.4 points, floor 0.0 (p10), ceiling 6.0 (p85), from 10,000 simulations of the game. PPR: RB63 (median 2.8). Standard: RB63 (median 1.9).
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | RB63 | Sit | 2.8 | 0.0 | 6.8 |
| Half-PPR | RB62 | Sit | 2.4 | 0.0 | 6.0 |
| Standard | RB63 | Sit | 1.9 | 0.0 | 5.4 |
Game environment: BAL market-implied team total 27.0 vs 15.5 for TEN (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (3 games): 4% target share, 13% carry share, 42% snap rate (nflverse).
Ranked nearby (RB, half-PPR): Devin Singletary (RB60), Emmett Johnson (RB61), DJ Herman (RB63), Mike Washington Jr. (RB64).
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings