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Should I start Foster Moreau in Week 4?
Week 4, 2026 · HOU vs DAL · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET ·
PropSims says sit Foster Moreau in Week 4 unless Dalton Schultz is out: as a limited-role TE his median is 2.8 half-PPR points, with a significant role in 9% of our 10,000 simulations.
| Scoring | Rank | Call | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | TE40 | Sit | 3.6 | 0.0 | 6.8 |
| Half-PPR | TE39 | Sit | 2.8 | 0.0 | 5.8 |
| Standard | TE33 | Sit | 2.0 | 0.0 | 4.9 |
Game environment: HOU market-implied team total 25.8 vs 22.8 for DAL (median of 11 books via The Odds API). Usage this season (3 games): 9% target share, 0% carry share, 43% snap rate (nflverse).
Ranked nearby (TE, half-PPR): Colby Parkinson (TE37), Gunnar Helm (TE38), Tommy Tremble (TE40), Evan Engram (TE41).
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Numbers are PropSims own-model output from 10,000 simulations of every Week 4 game; ranks assume a 12-team league (1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX). Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). Model opinion, not advice. For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+. Methodology · All Week 4 rankings