PropStart/Sit › Week 5 close calls › WR
Garrett Wilson or Jaylen Waddle: who should I start in Week 5 PPR?
· Garrett Wilson: NYJ vs CLE, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET · Jaylen Waddle: DEN vs LAC, Sun, Oct 11, 4:05 PM ET
Coin flip in Week 5: Garrett Wilson edges Jaylen Waddle, outscoring him in 53.9% of 10,000 simulated games (PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. Half-PPR: Garrett Wilson (52%). Standard: Jaylen Waddle (50%). Need a safe floor? Garrett Wilson (p10 6.0). Need upside? Garrett Wilson (p85 24.4).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Garrett Wilson | 54% | WR10 | 14.1 | 6.0 | 24.4 |
| Jaylen Waddle | 46% | WR12 | 12.9 | 4.5 | 24.4 | |
| Half-PPR | Garrett Wilson | 52% | WR11 | 10.9 | 4.3 | 20.0 |
| Jaylen Waddle | 48% | WR13 | 10.5 | 3.3 | 20.8 | |
| Standard | Garrett Wilson | 50% | WR14 | 7.7 | 2.5 | 15.7 |
| Jaylen Waddle | 50% | WR13 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 17.3 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.