PropStart/Sit › Week 5 close calls › RB
Rhamondre Stevenson or David Montgomery: who should I start in Week 5 PPR?
· Rhamondre Stevenson: NE vs LV, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET · David Montgomery: HOU vs TEN, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET
Coin flip in Week 5: Rhamondre Stevenson edges David Montgomery, outscoring him in 54.2% of 10,000 simulated games (PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. Same pick in half-PPR (53%) and standard (50%). Need a safe floor? Rhamondre Stevenson (p10 3.9). Need upside? Rhamondre Stevenson (p85 19.5).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Rhamondre Stevenson | 54% | RB18 | 10.8 | 3.9 | 19.5 |
| David Montgomery | 46% | RB24 | 9.6 | 3.3 | 18.8 | |
| Half-PPR | Rhamondre Stevenson | 53% | RB21 | 9.3 | 3.2 | 17.6 |
| David Montgomery | 47% | RB22 | 8.7 | 2.8 | 17.6 | |
| Standard | Rhamondre Stevenson | 50% | RB25 | 7.9 | 2.4 | 15.8 |
| David Montgomery | 50% | RB26 | 7.8 | 2.3 | 16.6 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
Get PropSims free
PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.