PropStart/Sit › Week 5 close calls › RB
Quinshon Judkins or David Montgomery: who should I start in Week 5 PPR?
· Quinshon Judkins: CLE vs NYJ, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET · David Montgomery: HOU vs TEN, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET
Coin flip in Week 5: Quinshon Judkins edges David Montgomery, outscoring him in 53.2% of 10,000 simulated games (PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. Same pick in half-PPR (53%) and standard (52%). Need a safe floor? Quinshon Judkins (p10 3.8). Need upside? Quinshon Judkins (p85 19.5).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Quinshon Judkins | 53% | RB20 | 10.5 | 3.8 | 19.5 |
| David Montgomery | 47% | RB24 | 9.6 | 3.3 | 18.8 | |
| Half-PPR | Quinshon Judkins | 53% | RB20 | 9.4 | 3.3 | 18.2 |
| David Montgomery | 47% | RB22 | 8.7 | 2.8 | 17.6 | |
| Standard | Quinshon Judkins | 52% | RB20 | 8.4 | 2.7 | 17.0 |
| David Montgomery | 48% | RB26 | 7.8 | 2.3 | 16.6 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.