PropStart/Sit › Week 5 close calls › WR
Mike Evans or Romeo Doubs: who should I start in Week 5 PPR?
· Mike Evans: SF vs SEA, Sun, Oct 11, 4:25 PM ET · Romeo Doubs: NE vs LV, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET
START MIKE EVANSCOIN FLIP
Coin flip in Week 5: Mike Evans edges Romeo Doubs, outscoring him in 51.5% of 10,000 simulated games (PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. Half-PPR: Mike Evans (51%). Standard: Romeo Doubs (51%). Need a safe floor? Mike Evans (p10 3.1). Need upside? Romeo Doubs (p85 19.8).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Mike Evans | 52% | WR24 | 10.1 | 3.1 | 19.6 |
| Romeo Doubs | 48% | WR28 | 9.8 | 2.7 | 19.8 | |
| Half-PPR | Mike Evans | 51% | WR26 | 8.0 | 2.2 | 16.6 |
| Romeo Doubs | 49% | WR24 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 17.0 | |
| Standard | Mike Evans | 49% | WR26 | 5.8 | 1.3 | 13.7 |
| Romeo Doubs | 51% | WR23 | 6.1 | 1.2 | 14.4 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.