PropStart/Sit › Week 5 close calls › WR
Jordan Addison or Malik Nabers: who should I start in Week 5 PPR?
· Jordan Addison: MIN vs NO, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET · Malik Nabers: NYG vs WAS, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET
START JORDAN ADDISONCOIN FLIP
Coin flip in Week 5: Jordan Addison edges Malik Nabers, outscoring him in 51.0% of 10,000 simulated games (PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. Same pick in half-PPR (51%) and standard (52%). Need a safe floor? Jordan Addison (p10 3.3). Need upside? Jordan Addison (p85 21.1).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Jordan Addison | 51% | WR18 | 11.0 | 3.3 | 21.1 |
| Malik Nabers | 49% | WR20 | 10.5 | 3.3 | 21.0 | |
| Half-PPR | Jordan Addison | 51% | WR18 | 8.9 | 2.4 | 18.0 |
| Malik Nabers | 49% | WR20 | 8.4 | 2.4 | 17.8 | |
| Standard | Jordan Addison | 52% | WR19 | 6.7 | 1.5 | 15.0 |
| Malik Nabers | 48% | WR20 | 6.2 | 1.4 | 14.8 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.