PropStart/Sit › Week 5 close calls › RB
Emanuel Wilson or Braelon Allen: who should I start in Week 5 PPR?
· Emanuel Wilson: SEA vs SF, Sun, Oct 11, 4:25 PM ET · Braelon Allen: NYJ vs CLE, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET
START EMANUEL WILSONCOIN FLIP
Coin flip in Week 5: Emanuel Wilson edges Braelon Allen, outscoring him in 52.5% of 10,000 simulated games (PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. Same pick in half-PPR (55%) and standard (56%). Need a safe floor? Braelon Allen (p10 5.2). Need upside? Emanuel Wilson (p85 24.8).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Emanuel Wilson | 53% | RB13 | 13.2 | 5.0 | 24.8 |
| Braelon Allen | 47% | RB14 | 12.7 | 5.2 | 22.8 | |
| Half-PPR | Emanuel Wilson | 55% | RB13 | 12.6 | 4.7 | 24.0 |
| Braelon Allen | 45% | RB15 | 11.5 | 4.5 | 21.3 | |
| Standard | Emanuel Wilson | 56% | RB11 | 11.9 | 4.3 | 23.3 |
| Braelon Allen | 44% | RB16 | 10.2 | 3.7 | 19.9 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.