PropStart/Sit › Week 5 close calls › RB
D'Andre Swift or Braelon Allen: who should I start in Week 5 PPR?
· D'Andre Swift: CHI vs GB, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET · Braelon Allen: NYJ vs CLE, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET
Coin flip in Week 5: Braelon Allen edges D'Andre Swift, outscoring him in 52.4% of 10,000 simulated games (PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. Half-PPR: Braelon Allen (50%). Standard: D'Andre Swift (52%). Need a safe floor? Braelon Allen (p10 5.2). Need upside? Braelon Allen (p85 22.8).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | D'Andre Swift | 48% | RB16 | 12.0 | 4.7 | 22.0 |
| Braelon Allen | 52% | RB14 | 12.7 | 5.2 | 22.8 | |
| Half-PPR | D'Andre Swift | 50% | RB16 | 11.4 | 4.4 | 21.3 |
| Braelon Allen | 50% | RB15 | 11.5 | 4.5 | 21.3 | |
| Standard | D'Andre Swift | 52% | RB14 | 10.7 | 4.1 | 20.6 |
| Braelon Allen | 48% | RB16 | 10.2 | 3.7 | 19.9 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.