PropStart/Sit › Week 5 close calls › RB
Christian McCaffrey or James Cook: who should I start in Week 5 PPR?
· Christian McCaffrey: SF vs SEA, Sun, Oct 11, 4:25 PM ET · James Cook: BUF vs LAR, Mon, Oct 12, 8:15 PM ET
START CHRISTIAN MCCAFFREY
Start Christian McCaffrey over James Cook in Week 5 (PPR): he outscores him in 58% of 10,000 simulated games. Same pick in half-PPR (55%) and standard (50%). Need a safe floor? Christian McCaffrey (p10 7.6). Need upside? Christian McCaffrey (p85 28.6).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Christian McCaffrey | 58% | RB5 | 17.1 | 7.6 | 28.6 |
| James Cook | 42% | RB12 | 14.5 | 6.7 | 25.0 | |
| Half-PPR | Christian McCaffrey | 55% | RB7 | 15.0 | 6.4 | 25.8 |
| James Cook | 45% | RB10 | 13.6 | 6.3 | 24.0 | |
| Standard | Christian McCaffrey | 50% | RB9 | 12.9 | 4.9 | 23.3 |
| James Cook | 50% | RB10 | 12.7 | 5.7 | 23.0 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.