PropStart/Sit › Week 5 close calls › WR
Chris Olave or Jaylen Waddle: who should I start in Week 5 PPR?
· Chris Olave: NO vs MIN, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET · Jaylen Waddle: DEN vs LAC, Sun, Oct 11, 4:05 PM ET
START CHRIS OLAVECOIN FLIP
Coin flip in Week 5: Chris Olave edges Jaylen Waddle, outscoring him in 54.5% of 10,000 simulated games (PPR), so let your floor/upside need decide. Same pick in half-PPR (53%) and standard (53%). Need a safe floor? Chris Olave (p10 5.4). Need upside? Chris Olave (p85 26.0).
| Scoring | Player | Wins H2H | Rank | Median | Floor p10 | Ceiling p85 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | Chris Olave | 54% | WR8 | 14.4 | 5.4 | 26.0 |
| Jaylen Waddle | 46% | WR12 | 12.9 | 4.5 | 24.4 | |
| Half-PPR | Chris Olave | 53% | WR7 | 11.5 | 4.0 | 22.0 |
| Jaylen Waddle | 47% | WR13 | 10.5 | 3.3 | 20.8 | |
| Standard | Chris Olave | 53% | WR9 | 8.6 | 2.5 | 18.1 |
| Jaylen Waddle | 47% | WR13 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 17.3 |
Both players are simulated together in the same 10,000 games, so shared-game correlation is included. Ties count half.
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PropSims own-model output; model opinion, not advice. Our ranges are still slightly too narrow (76.5% of outcomes in the 10-90 range vs. 80% target). For entertainment and informational purposes only. 21+.